
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $975.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $297.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $297.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $126.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $1.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 17 | Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 40.0% | $5 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $3.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $110 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 21 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $15 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 7:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Disguised.
This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 26, 2026
- 07:50 PMBOBOOKMAKER67$5.00
Bought 12.820511 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.39
- 07:45 PMA4A46738$1.00
Bought 1.754383 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.57
- 07:38 PMMUMuqiang6215$130.30
Bought 325.75 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.4
- 07:36 PM0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976$2.30
Bought 5 Disguised for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.46
- 07:35 PMLUlucifertech123$64.00
Bought 116.363635 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 07:32 PMANAntiVaxxer$3.00
Bought 7.5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.4
- 07:32 PMDCdc8383$1.08
Bought 2.16 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.5
- 07:32 PMECEcoCosmico7$31.50
Bought 75 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.42
- 07:32 PM——$50.00
Bought 84.74576 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.59
- 07:32 PMCHCheyennennnnfd$336.40
Bought 580 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.58
- 07:31 PMSSsssasp$2.90
Bought 5 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.58
- 07:27 PMELelenaarybakin21$4.31
Bought 8.13 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.53
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?
As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $975.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
