LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

$19.1K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 64.5%
Team Secret Whales 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,300% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,500%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $19.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $146 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,500¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%), Match Winner (6,450%), and Game 1 Winner (6,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 3 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7300.0%$1467300¢-7200¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
5Match Winner6450.0%$17.2K6450¢-6350¢
6Game 1 Winner6050.0%$8846050¢-5950¢
7Game 3 Winner6000.0%$166000¢-5900¢
8Game 2 Winner5950.0%$165950¢-5850¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
32First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
33First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
34Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)4250.0%$6424250¢-4150¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
36Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
37Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
38Game 4 Winner3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
39O/U 4.5 Games3400.0%$1433400¢-3300¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
42Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
43Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
44Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
45Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
46Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
47Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
48Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
51Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
52Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)1900.0%$511900¢-1800¢
53Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)650.0%$1650¢-550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LYON and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Secret Whales.

This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win the match against LYON.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,300% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,500% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $19.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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