LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

$70.5K Vol
Jul 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Dplus KIA 70.5%
Karmine Corp 29.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,100% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? follows in second place at 6,250%, while Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 6,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $70.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (6,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? maintains a 6,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,250¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,200%): Sitting in third place with a 6,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,050%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7100.0%$3.3K7100¢-7000¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6250.0%$16250¢-6150¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6200.0%$16200¢-6100¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6000.0%$26000¢-5900¢
8First Blood in Game 2?5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
9First Blood in Game 1?5200.0%$2005200¢-5100¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
11Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)5150.0%$5.8K5150¢-5050¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
15First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
26First Blood in Game 5?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29First Blood in Game 3?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4650.0%$164650¢-4550¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4600.0%$564600¢-4500¢
34Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4350.0%$4.5K4350¢-4250¢
35Game 2 Winner3900.0%$1463900¢-3800¢
36Game 3 Winner3900.0%$2703900¢-3800¢
37Game 4 Winner3900.0%$273900¢-3800¢
38Game 1 Winner3850.0%$7.5K3850¢-3750¢
39Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
43Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
45Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
48O/U 4.5 Games3250.0%$5503250¢-3150¢
49Match Winner2950.0%$47.8K2950¢-2850¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
51Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
52Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
53Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)2550.0%$2272550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Dplus KIA.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,100% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 6,250% and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 6,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $70.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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