LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

$20.2K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
T1 85.5%
G2 Esports 14.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 7,150%, while Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? sits in third with 6,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $20.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? (6,900%): Sitting in third place with a 6,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (6,900%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,800%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 3.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)7150.0%$1.6K7150¢-7050¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills7150.0%$97150¢-7050¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?6900.0%6900¢-6800¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?6900.0%6900¢-6800¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6800.0%6800¢-6700¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6800.0%6800¢-6700¢
7O/U 3.5 Games6450.0%$6866450¢-6350¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?6350.0%$26350¢-6250¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?6350.0%$46350¢-6250¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?6250.0%$3246250¢-6150¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
18First Blood in Game 2?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27First Blood in Game 4?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?4800.0%$64800¢-4700¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
33Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)3800.0%$1.5K3800¢-3700¢
34Game 4 Winner3750.0%$2893750¢-3650¢
35Game 2 Winner2800.0%$932800¢-2700¢
36Game 3 Winner2800.0%$892800¢-2700¢
37Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
38Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
42Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
43Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
45Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
46Game 1 Winner2700.0%$2662700¢-2600¢
47Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
50O/U 4.5 Games2500.0%$32500¢-2400¢
51Match Winner1350.0%$15.4K1350¢-1250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between G2 Esports and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against G2 Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 7,150% and Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? at 6,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $20.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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