
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,500% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 6,550%, while Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $210.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 3.5 Games (7,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $7.0K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? maintains a 6,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,550¢.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (6,500%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? (6,350%), and Match Winner (6,150%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 1 Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 7500.0% | $7.0K | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 6550.0% | $1 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 6500.0% | $1 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 6500.0% | $1 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 6 | Match Winner | 6150.0% | $156.9K | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 7 | Game 1 Winner | 5650.0% | $20.4K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 8 | Game 3 Winner | 5550.0% | $1.4K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5? | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 10 | Game 2 Winner | 5450.0% | $2.4K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 11 | Game 4 Winner | 5400.0% | $959 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5200.0% | $22 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 5200.0% | $11 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5150.0% | $8 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5100.0% | $7 | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5100.0% | $2 | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 22 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5050.0% | $2 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $2 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $2 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $2 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 4980.0% | $29 | 4980¢ | -4880¢ |
| 45 | First Blood in Game 5? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 46 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 47 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 48 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5? | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 49 | Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) | 4250.0% | $12.5K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 50 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 51 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 52 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3550.0% | $1.3K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 53 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 54 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 55 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 56 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4? | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 57 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 2000.0% | $118 | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 58 | Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) | 1850.0% | $7.1K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Hanwha Life Esports.
This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,500% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 6,550% and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $210.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
