LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

$23K Vol
Jul 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hanwha Life Esports 61.5%
Bilibili Gaming 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,500%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $23K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $367 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,500¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%): Sitting in third place with a 6,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%), Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$3677350¢-7250¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
8Game 4 Winner5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
31Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
32Game 1 Winner4450.0%$5044450¢-4350¢
33Game 3 Winner4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
34Game 2 Winner4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
36Both Teams Slay a Dragon4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
37Match Winner3850.0%$21.9K3850¢-3750¢
38O/U 4.5 Games3850.0%$2023850¢-3750¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
42Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
43Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
44Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
45Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
46Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
47Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
51Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)1850.0%$1061850¢-1750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Bilibili Gaming and Hanwha Life Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Hanwha Life Esports.

This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,500% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $23K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started