What will the announcers say during Mexico vs Ecuador World Cup Match?

$73.5K Vol
2026年7月2日
Active
確率トレンド
Nutmeg / Meg 99.6%
Messi 99.5%
Guadalajara 98.0%
Aggressive 95.5%
Challenge 5+ times 91.5%

コアサマリー

「What will the announcers say during Mexico vs Ecuador World Cup Match?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Guadalajara が 9,795% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Aggressive が 9,550% で2番手、Challenge 5+ times が 9,350% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $73.5K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Guadalajara (9,795%):最も高い確率を持つ Guadalajara は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,795¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $501 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Aggressive (9,550%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Aggressive は 9,550% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,550¢ で取引されています。
  • Challenge 5+ times (9,350%):9,350% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Challenge 5+ times に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Offside / Offsides (9,150%)、Corner 10+ times (8,300%)、Throw In (7,900%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Shot 10+ times のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Guadalajara9795.0%$5019795¢-9695¢
2Aggressive9550.0%$1.9K9550¢-9450¢
3Challenge 5+ times9350.0%$9289350¢-9250¢
4Offside / Offsides9150.0%$5.9K9150¢-9050¢
5Corner 10+ times8300.0%$7.7K8300¢-8200¢
6Throw In7900.0%$6577900¢-7800¢
7Shot 10+ times7750.0%$2.6K7750¢-7650¢
8Impossible6300.0%$1836300¢-6200¢
9Weather6100.0%$1.2K6100¢-6000¢
10Wild5150.0%$4435150¢-5050¢
11Magic5000.0%$1.4K5000¢-4900¢
12Pressure 5+ times4850.0%$964850¢-4750¢
13Assist4700.0%$1.8K4700¢-4600¢
14Comeback / Come Back1200.0%$3.0K1200¢-1100¢
15Goal 50+ times750.0%$3.0K750¢-650¢
16Penalty Shootout165.0%$1.9K165¢-65¢
17Ronaldo165.0%$908165¢-65¢
18Golden Boot105.0%$718105¢-5¢
19What a Save50.0%$4.4K50¢50¢

判定ルール

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution.

If the Mexico vs Ecuador match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point.

The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:54 PM
    DIDiddyTheDiddler
    $4.92

    Bought 6 No for Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.82

  • 08:27 PM
    CHchessplayer
    $10.50

    Bought 50 Yes for Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.21

  • 08:23 PM
    USUseraxe
    $6.55

    Sold 8.19 Yes for Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.8

  • 08:23 PM
    CHchessplayer
    $59.20

    Bought 80 Yes for Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.74

  • 08:14 PM
    0X0xE5e6faf47087B5d1D358386364bF1FFE89963c2f-1765387449208
    $13.40

    Sold 20 Yes for Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.67

  • 08:05 PM
    $9.10

    Sold 17.17 No for Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.53

  • 07:36 PM
    $15.00

    Bought 23.4375 No for Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.64

  • 07:36 PM
    QCqcp10
    $0.19

    Bought 0.29 No for Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.64

  • 07:36 PM
    IWiWasEnough
    $11.93

    Bought 19.557376 No for Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.61

  • 07:36 PM
    JCjcharger
    $60.00

    Bought 100 No for Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.6

  • 07:36 PM
    $5.89

    Bought 9.203125 No for Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.64

  • 07:36 PM
    MEmeow-123
    $21.82

    Bought 35.770625 No for Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match? at 0.61

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よくある質問

「What will the announcers say during Mexico vs Ecuador World Cup Match?」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Guadalajara が 9,795% の勝率で首位、続いて Aggressive(9,550%)、Challenge 5+ times(9,350%)。このプールの総取引高は $73.5K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める