Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

$59.8K Vol
2026年7月26日
Active
確率トレンド
Bilibili Gaming 50.5%
Nova Esports 49.5%

コアサマリー

「Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 が 6,350% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 が 6,150% で2番手、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 が 5,300% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $59.8K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,350%):最も高い確率を持つ Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 6,350¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,150%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 は 6,150% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,150¢ で取引されています。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,300%):5,300% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,200%)、Match Winner (5,150%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Map 2 Winner のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55300.0%$865300¢-5200¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55200.0%$305200¢-5100¢
5Match Winner5150.0%$51.2K5150¢-5050¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 2 Winner4950.0%$2.4K4950¢-4850¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Map 1 Winner4900.0%$1.6K4900¢-4800¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4900.0%$1.4K4900¢-4800¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)4500.0%$54500¢-4400¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.54400.0%$314400¢-4300¢
13Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)4200.0%$54200¢-4100¢
14Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)3900.0%$1.9K3900¢-3800¢
15Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
16Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5)3850.0%$2403850¢-3750¢
17Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
18Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
19Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
20Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)2850.0%$1.7K2850¢-2750¢
21Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)2550.0%$2.5K2550¢-2450¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Valorant Seeding match between Nova Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders, initially scheduled for July 26 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Nova Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Jul 26, 2026

  • 08:07 AM
    0X0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4z
    $180.23

    Bought 367.81 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.49

  • 08:05 AM
    0X0x888D4d6F3AF466C571a106C05E356D0d676AC45d-1780712109372
    $30.00

    Bought 61.224488 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:05 AM
    $1.66

    Bought 3.387754 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.49

  • 08:05 AM
    0X0x888D4d6F3AF466C571a106C05E356D0d676AC45d-1780712109372
    $30.00

    Bought 57.692306 Nova Esports for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.52

  • 08:03 AM
    0X0xb4bc56D7D59302Bdb5C5962027F33929685fdD5c-1782683829723
    $3.93

    Bought 8.03 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.49

  • 08:03 AM
    0X0xb4bc56D7D59302Bdb5C5962027F33929685fdD5c-1782683829723
    $3.51

    Bought 13.5 Bilibili Gaming for Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5) at 0.26

  • 08:02 AM
    RARadenska
    $2.94

    Bought 6 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.49

  • 08:02 AM
    $2.55

    Bought 5.20408 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.49

  • 08:01 AM
    AMamong-skied-lazy
    $1.50

    Bought 5.769229 Bilibili Gaming for Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5) at 0.26

  • 08:01 AM
    LMlmtscapt
    $136.84

    Bought 380.12 Bilibili Gaming for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5) at 0.36

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 3.846152 Bilibili Gaming for Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5) at 0.26

  • 08:00 AM
    FIFireNoodLe
    $15.00

    Bought 28.846152 Nova Esports for Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.52

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

GR1
greyoctober
Event PnL
+$4.88
Volume
$18,631.67
Positions
Nova Esports
SI2
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$60.00
Volume
$12,000.00
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
FO3
forget4
Event PnL
+$12.62
Volume
$5,999.81
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
IG4
igot50k
Event PnL
-$18.28
Volume
$5,231.58
Positions
Bilibili GamingBilibili GamingBilibili Gaming+1
SK5
skyman44
Event PnL
+$25.52
Volume
$5,103.82
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
ZZ6
zzc6077
Event PnL
+$21.22
Volume
$1,947.09
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
GA7
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$8.55
Volume
$1,905.93
Positions
Nova Esports
BB8
BBkens
Event PnL
-$8.46
Volume
$1,692.27
Positions
Nova Esports

よくある質問

「Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 が 6,350% の勝率で首位、続いて Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(6,150%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(5,300%)。このプールの総取引高は $59.8K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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