LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

$19.1K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
確率トレンド
LYON 64.5%
Team Secret Whales 35.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、O/U 3.5 Games が 7,300% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 6,500% で2番手、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 6,500% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $19.1K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,300%):最も高い確率を持つ O/U 3.5 Games は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,300¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $146 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Both Teams Slay a Dragon は 6,500% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,500¢ で取引されています。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):6,500% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Slay a Dragon に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%)、Match Winner (6,450%)、Game 1 Winner (6,050%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Game 3 Winner のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1O/U 3.5 Games7300.0%$1467300¢-7200¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
5Match Winner6450.0%$17.2K6450¢-6350¢
6Game 1 Winner6050.0%$8846050¢-5950¢
7Game 3 Winner6000.0%$166000¢-5900¢
8Game 2 Winner5950.0%$165950¢-5850¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
32First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
33First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
34Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)4250.0%$6424250¢-4150¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
36Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
37Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
38Game 4 Winner3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
39O/U 4.5 Games3400.0%$1433400¢-3300¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
42Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
43Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
44Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
45Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
46Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
47Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
48Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
51Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
52Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)1900.0%$511900¢-1800¢
53Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)650.0%$1650¢-550¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LYON and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Secret Whales.

This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales win the match against LYON.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

よくある質問

「LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、O/U 3.5 Games が 7,300% の勝率で首位、続いて Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%)。このプールの総取引高は $19.1K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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