Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

「Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Yes が 5,000% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。No が 5,000% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに — に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• Yes (5,000%)：最も高い確率を持つ Yes は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 5,000¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• No (5,000%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、No は 5,000% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,000¢ で取引されています。

Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).