
PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner
コアサマリー
「PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、S.Y. Noh が 4,950% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Tom Kim が 4,800% で2番手、Scottie Scheffler が 2,400% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $2.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- S.Y. Noh (4,950%):最も高い確率を持つ S.Y. Noh は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 4,950¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $5 の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- Tom Kim (4,800%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Tom Kim は 4,800% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 4,800¢ で取引されています。
- Scottie Scheffler (2,400%):2,400% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Scottie Scheffler に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:Kurt Kitayama (245%)、Maverick McNealy (245%)、Hideki Matsuyama (245%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Jackson Koivun のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S.Y. Noh | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 2 | Tom Kim | 4800.0% | $5 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 3 | Scottie Scheffler | 2400.0% | $402 | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 4 | Kurt Kitayama | 245.0% | $155 | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 5 | Maverick McNealy | 245.0% | $300 | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 6 | Hideki Matsuyama | 245.0% | $500 | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 7 | Jackson Koivun | 160.0% | $222 | 160¢ | -60¢ |
| 8 | Corey Conners | 155.0% | $505 | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 9 | Jordan L. Smith | 155.0% | $5 | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 10 | Keith Mitchell | 150.0% | $5 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 11 | Doug Ghim | 150.0% | $5 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 12 | Mackenzie Hughes | 105.0% | $5 | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 13 | Keita Nakajima | 105.0% | $5 | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 14 | Jake Knapp | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 15 | Pierceson Coody | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 16 | Jackson Suber | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 17 | Max Homa | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 18 | Gary Woodland | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 19 | Sung-Jae Im | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 20 | Benjamin James | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 21 | Sam Stevens | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 22 | Tony Finau | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 23 | Johnny Keefer | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 24 | Mac Meissner | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 25 | Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 26 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 27 | Michael Brennan | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 28 | Jason Day | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 29 | Max Greyserman | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 30 | Michael Kim | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 31 | Casey Jarvis | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 32 | Brian Harman | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 33 | Ben Kohles | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 34 | Beau Hossler | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 35 | Max McGreevy | 100.0% | $5 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 36 | Seamus Power | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 37 | Zac Blair | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 38 | A.J. Ewart | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 39 | Kristoffer Ventura | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 40 | Garrick Higgo | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 41 | Tom Hoge | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 42 | Chad Ramey | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 43 | Erik Van Rooyen | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 44 | Nick Dunlap | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 45 | Neal Shipley | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 46 | Luke Clanton | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 47 | Joel Dahmen | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 48 | Brandt Snedeker | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 49 | Hayden Springer | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 50 | Trace Crowe | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 51 | Harry Higgs | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 52 | Mark Hubbard | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 53 | Luke List | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 54 | Vince Whaley | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 55 | Chandler Phillips | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 56 | Lanto Griffin | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 57 | Adam Hadwin | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 58 | Jimmy Stanger | 60.0% | $10 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 59 | Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 60 | Davis Thompson | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 61 | William Mouw | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 62 | Aldrich Potgieter | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 63 | Stephan Jaeger | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 64 | Taylor Pendrith | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 65 | Kevin Yu | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 66 | Ricky Castillo | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 67 | Steven Fisk | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 68 | Emiliano Grillo | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 69 | John Parry | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 70 | Taylor Moore | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 71 | Preston Stout | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 72 | Lucas Glover | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 73 | Thorbjorn Olesen | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 74 | Andrew Putnam | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 75 | Rico Hoey | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 76 | Zach Bauchou | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 77 | Lee Hodges | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 78 | Jesper Svensson | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 79 | Billy Horschel | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 80 | Ze-Cheng Dou | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 81 | Denny McCarthy | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 82 | Patrick Rodgers | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 83 | Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 84 | Matt Kuchar | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 85 | Ryder Cowan | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 86 | Patrick Fishburn | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 87 | Takumi Kanaya | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 88 | Chris Kirk | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 89 | Austin Smotherman | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 90 | Austin Eckroat | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 91 | Gordon Sargent | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 92 | Matthieu Pavon | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 93 | Pontus Nyholm | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 94 | Kevin Roy | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 95 | Karl Vilips | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 96 | David Skinns | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 97 | David Lipsky | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 98 | Aaron Wise | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 99 | Cameron Champ | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 100 | Hao-Tong Li | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
判定ルール
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 3M Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 3M Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 3M Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Jul 20, 2026
- 07:33 PMONoneoftheppl$142.50
Bought 150 No for Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.95
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Cameron Champ win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Aaron Wise win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will David Lipsky win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will David Skinns win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Karl Vilips win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Kevin Roy win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Pontus Nyholm win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Matthieu Pavon win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Austin Smotherman win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Chris Kirk win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
- 07:20 PMDKDkOYL$0.05
Sold 5 Yes for Will Takumi Kanaya win the 2026 3M Open? at 0.01
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、S.Y. Noh が 4,950% の勝率で首位、続いて Tom Kim(4,800%)、Scottie Scheffler(2,400%)。このプールの総取引高は $2.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
