Graham Platner charged by August 31?

Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 60.5%
Yes 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Graham Platner charged by August 31?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,100% chance of winning. Yes follows in second place at 3,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • No (6,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Yes (3,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Yes maintains a 3,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 3,900¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1No6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
2Yes3900.0%3900¢-3800¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Graham Platner between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Graham Platner charged by August 31?"?

As of the latest update, No leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,100% win probability, followed by Yes at 3,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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