Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,750% chance of winning. Yes follows in second place at 1,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $340, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• No (8,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Yes (1,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Yes maintains a 1,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,250¢.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.