Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 26, 2026?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 26, 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 85–90 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,760% chance of winning. 90–95 follows in second place at 190%, while <80 sits in third with 145%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• 85–90 (9,760%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 85–90 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,760¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $700 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 90–95 (190%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 90–95 maintains a 190% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 190¢.
• <80 (145%): Sitting in third place with a 145% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward <80, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes 95–100 (110%), 100+ (110%), and 80–85 (65%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 95–100 are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.