Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets

$71.1K Vol
Jul 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Portugal 69.5%
Croatia 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Portugal O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 8,100%, while 2nd Half O/U 0.5 sits in third with 7,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $71.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 0.5 (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $222 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Portugal O/U 0.5 (8,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Portugal O/U 0.5 maintains a 8,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,100¢.
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,550%): Sitting in third place with a 7,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 2nd Half O/U 0.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 1.5 (7,150%), Team to Advance (6,950%), and 1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 0.59150.0%$2229150¢-9050¢
2Portugal O/U 0.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
32nd Half O/U 0.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
4O/U 1.57150.0%$2.3K7150¢-7050¢
5Team to Advance6950.0%$36.1K6950¢-6850¢
61st Half O/U 0.56750.0%$696750¢-6650¢
7Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
8Croatia O/U 0.55850.0%$25850¢-5750¢
9Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
10Will the Match Go to Extra Time?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Both Teams to Score4950.0%$1.6K4950¢-4850¢
12Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
13Portugal O/U 1.54800.0%$1334800¢-4700¢
14O/U 2.54650.0%$14.4K4650¢-4550¢
152nd Half O/U 1.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
16Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
17Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
181st Half O/U 1.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
19Portugal (-1.5)2850.0%$5.4K2850¢-2750¢
20Both Teams to Score in Second Half2500.0%$382500¢-2400¢
21O/U 3.52450.0%$4.7K2450¢-2350¢
22Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
23Portugal O/U 2.52250.0%$162250¢-2150¢
24Croatia O/U 1.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢
25Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.51700.0%$491700¢-1600¢
26Both Teams to Score in First Half1650.0%$511650¢-1550¢
272nd Half O/U 2.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
28Portugal (-2.5)1200.0%$1241200¢-1100¢
29O/U 4.51100.0%$3501100¢-1000¢
301st Half O/U 2.51000.0%$401000¢-900¢
31Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
32Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5650.0%$555650¢-550¢
33Croatia O/U 2.5570.0%$221570¢-470¢
34Croatia (-1.5)550.0%550¢-450¢
35Portugal (-4.5)420.0%$129420¢-320¢
36O/U 5.5410.0%$1410¢-310¢
37Portugal (-3.5)400.0%$304400¢-300¢
38Croatia (-4.5)360.0%$68360¢-260¢
39Portugal (-5.5)240.0%$936240¢-140¢
40O/U 6.5140.0%$63140¢-40¢
41Croatia (-2.5)115.0%$277115¢-15¢
42Croatia (-3.5)65.0%$23065¢35¢
43O/U 7.560.0%$6860¢40¢
44O/U 8.560.0%$6860¢40¢
45Croatia (-5.5)5.0%$2.6K95¢

Result Rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.34

    Bought 62.4 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $48.36

    Bought 156 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:31 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.67

    Bought 31.2 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:29 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.68

    Bought 15.09 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.67

    Bought 31.2 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:27 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.35

    Bought 46.29 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0xdb8aED66299346dbb89d7cC3d5Eb54A2e2a00Ca8-1767797209895
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:23 AM
    TPTPtheGOAT
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Portugal for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.7

  • 08:23 AM
    0X0xD7FdCE05376B38baAf487d73a28C8e1eB68F93c0-1770464508073
    $10.00

    Bought 32.258063 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:20 AM
    0X0x31E1E9FcB4250D2d062A34C93f233945577D1e09-1771820169022
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Croatia for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.31

  • 08:12 AM
    $4.10

    Bought 5.857141 Portugal for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.7

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0x12f9AF44416F35242E8e09A2977aFC7580D25530-1782755833275
    $4.00

    Bought 5.714284 Portugal for Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$54.91
Volume
$15,287.06
Positions
OverPortugalUnder+18
F52
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
-$45.45
Volume
$9,090.91
Positions
Under
B93
0xB9B4…4116
Event PnL
+$14.76
Volume
$2,951.41
Positions
Croatia
NM4
NM-P
Event PnL
-$4.23
Volume
$2,847.62
Positions
CroatiaOverOver+4
RO5
roshi1
Event PnL
-$11.55
Volume
$2,309.08
Positions
Croatia
DE6
DeepDitch
Event PnL
+$1.00
Volume
$1,999.98
Positions
Croatia
GC7
GC-P
Event PnL
+$1.20
Volume
$1,993.26
Positions
CroatiaOverUnder+3
UA8
UAMe
Event PnL
+$8.36
Volume
$1,950.39
Positions
CroatiaOverNo+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Portugal O/U 0.5 at 8,100% and 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 7,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $71.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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