Portugal vs. Croatia
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Portugal vs. Croatia”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Portugal is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,450% chance of winning. Draw (Portugal vs. Croatia) follows in second place at 2,750%, while Croatia sits in third with 1,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $636.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Portugal (5,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Portugal is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $354.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Portugal vs. Croatia) (2,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Portugal vs. Croatia) maintains a 2,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,750¢.
- Croatia (1,850%): Sitting in third place with a 1,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Croatia, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 5450.0% | $354.8K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Portugal vs. Croatia) | 2750.0% | $95.6K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 3 | Croatia | 1850.0% | $186.4K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, July 2, 2026 between Portugal and Croatia.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:38 AM0X0xB1294C8959938D928c796ff82899c96A46F3E850-1762438534323$1.00
Bought 3.571427 Yes for Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? at 0.28
- 08:36 AM0X0x46fF43CBC2C78B55E529773De329c0f05e440F91-1778048902074$5.00
Bought 17.857141 Yes for Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? at 0.28
- 08:32 AMSUsuntori$145.63
Bought 264.781817 Yes for Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? at 0.55
- 08:31 AMTITilBaka$5.00
Bought 26.315788 Yes for Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? at 0.19
- 08:27 AMSUsuntori$4.85
Bought 17.321427 Yes for Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? at 0.28
- 08:26 AMSUsuntori$38.83
Bought 70.6 Yes for Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? at 0.55
- 08:25 AMKIKingShashaq$2.00
Bought 10.526314 Yes for Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? at 0.19
- 08:25 AMTATalukder420$1.00
Bought 5.263156 Yes for Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? at 0.19
- 08:25 AM——$1.20
Bought 2.181817 Yes for Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? at 0.55
- 08:21 AMSUsuntori$2.42
Bought 12.736841 Yes for Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? at 0.19
- 08:15 AMSASantaIsNotReal$5.00
Bought 9.090908 Yes for Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? at 0.55
- 08:14 AM0X0x1F2d315b3363DFd73CEb0BbeF5FF8043c9f5D5eA-1769606544628$10.00
Bought 52.631577 Yes for Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? at 0.19
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Portugal vs. Croatia"?
As of the latest update, Portugal leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,450% win probability, followed by Draw (Portugal vs. Croatia) at 2,750% and Croatia at 1,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $636.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.