Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score

$100.5K Vol
Jul 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 89.5%
Yes 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Portugal 1 - 1 Spain is dominating the market with an overwhelming 1,250% chance of winning. Portugal 0 - 1 Spain follows in second place at 1,050%, while Portugal 1 - 2 Spain sits in third with 1,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Portugal 1 - 1 Spain (1,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Portugal 1 - 1 Spain is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Portugal 0 - 1 Spain (1,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Portugal 0 - 1 Spain maintains a 1,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,050¢.
  • Portugal 1 - 2 Spain (1,050%): Sitting in third place with a 1,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Portugal 1 - 2 Spain, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Other Score (950%), Portugal 0 - 2 Spain (850%), and Portugal 0 - 0 Spain (650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Portugal 1 - 0 Spain are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Portugal 1 - 1 Spain1250.0%$8.7K1250¢-1150¢
2Portugal 0 - 1 Spain1050.0%$1.0K1050¢-950¢
3Portugal 1 - 2 Spain1050.0%$28.7K1050¢-950¢
4Any Other Score950.0%$263950¢-850¢
5Portugal 0 - 2 Spain850.0%$6.7K850¢-750¢
6Portugal 0 - 0 Spain650.0%$587650¢-550¢
7Portugal 1 - 0 Spain650.0%$1.4K650¢-550¢
8Portugal 2 - 1 Spain650.0%$11.4K650¢-550¢
9Portugal 2 - 2 Spain650.0%$5.2K650¢-550¢
10Portugal 1 - 3 Spain550.0%$3.5K550¢-450¢
11Portugal 0 - 3 Spain450.0%$708450¢-350¢
12Portugal 2 - 0 Spain345.0%$2.0K345¢-245¢
13Portugal 2 - 3 Spain330.0%$10.0K330¢-230¢
14Portugal 3 - 2 Spain215.0%$3.1K215¢-115¢
15Portugal 3 - 1 Spain210.0%$7.0K210¢-110¢
16Portugal 3 - 3 Spain135.0%$9.1K135¢-35¢
17Portugal 3 - 0 Spain110.0%$1.1K110¢-10¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Spain match originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 4, 2026

  • 08:27 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $3.29

    Bought 47 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? at 0.07

  • 08:24 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.61

    Bought 23 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? at 0.07

  • 08:22 PM
    0X0x156939cEEdF8FdbEaeB0B1453eDA576Bd966A1f0-1782309647308
    $5.00

    Bought 100 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain? at 0.05

  • 08:22 PM
    0X0x156939cEEdF8FdbEaeB0B1453eDA576Bd966A1f0-1782309647308
    $5.00

    Bought 71.42857 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain? at 0.07

  • 08:21 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $4.13

    Bought 59 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? at 0.07

  • 08:17 PM
    LIlinxuan04
    $4.86

    Bought 5.010312 No for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain? at 0.97

  • 08:16 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 9.090908 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain? at 0.11

  • 08:16 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $0.01

    Bought 0.16 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? at 0.06

  • 08:16 PM
    SWswisstony
    $1.99

    Bought 33.166665 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? at 0.06

  • 08:16 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 14.285713 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain? at 0.07

  • 08:16 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 14.285713 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain? at 0.07

  • 08:16 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 14.285713 Yes for Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain? at 0.07

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$10.09
Volume
$12,425.81
Positions
NoNoNo+3
NM2
NM-P
Event PnL
+$20.64
Volume
$6,392.85
Positions
NoNoNo+13
GC3
GC-P
Event PnL
+$69.20
Volume
$6,316.69
Positions
NoNoNo+9
SU4
suntori
Event PnL
-$35.53
Volume
$5,007.69
Positions
YesYesYes+9
245
247525
Event PnL
+$4.71
Volume
$4,553.11
Positions
NoNoYes+4
A56
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$3,900.49
Volume
$4,145.56
Positions
NoNoNo+14
RE7
restart77
Event PnL
+$0.36
Volume
$3,332.53
Positions
NoNoNo+1
MR8
mrtrump
Event PnL
+$14.94
Volume
$2,718.09
Positions
NoYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, Portugal 1 - 1 Spain leads the field as the frontrunner with a 1,250% win probability, followed by Portugal 0 - 1 Spain at 1,050% and Portugal 1 - 2 Spain at 1,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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