Paraguay vs. France - More Markets

$106.1K Vol
Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
France 91.5%
Paraguay 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Paraguay vs. France - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,500% chance of winning. France O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 9,300%, while 2nd Half O/U 0.5 sits in third with 8,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 0.5 (9,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • France O/U 0.5 (9,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, France O/U 0.5 maintains a 9,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,300¢.
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (8,200%): Sitting in third place with a 8,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 2nd Half O/U 0.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 1.5 (8,150%), France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,700%), and 1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like France O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 0.59500.0%9500¢-9400¢
2France O/U 0.59300.0%9300¢-9200¢
32nd Half O/U 0.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
4O/U 1.58150.0%$1408150¢-8050¢
5France 2nd Half O/U 0.57700.0%7700¢-7600¢
61st Half O/U 0.57400.0%$667400¢-7300¢
7France O/U 1.57400.0%$2597400¢-7300¢
8France 1st Half O/U 0.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
9France (-1.5)6050.0%$27.7K6050¢-5950¢
10O/U 2.55850.0%$7665850¢-5750¢
112nd Half O/U 1.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
12Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.54775.0%$354775¢-4675¢
13France O/U 2.54700.0%$564700¢-4600¢
14France 2nd Half O/U 1.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
15Paraguay O/U 0.54000.0%$1104000¢-3900¢
161st Half O/U 1.53750.0%$4.3K3750¢-3650¢
17Both Teams to Score3700.0%$8683700¢-3600¢
18France (-2.5)3650.0%$11.0K3650¢-3550¢
19O/U 3.53550.0%$11.1K3550¢-3450¢
20France 1st Half O/U 1.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
21Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
22Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.52600.0%$302600¢-2500¢
232nd Half O/U 2.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
24Both Teams to Score in Second Half2200.0%$102200¢-2100¢
25Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.51950.0%1950¢-1850¢
26France (-3.5)1900.0%$6271900¢-1800¢
27O/U 4.51900.0%$4971900¢-1800¢
281st Half O/U 2.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
29Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1450.0%$2.5K1450¢-1350¢
30Both Teams to Score in First Half1250.0%$101250¢-1150¢
31Will the Match Go to Extra Time?1250.0%1250¢-1150¢
32France (-4.5)1000.0%$201000¢-900¢
33Paraguay O/U 1.5900.0%900¢-800¢
34Team to Advance850.0%$38.5K850¢-750¢
35O/U 5.5800.0%800¢-700¢
36France (-5.5)600.0%600¢-500¢
37O/U 6.5300.0%300¢-200¢
38Paraguay O/U 2.5255.0%$244255¢-155¢
39O/U 7.5150.0%$100150¢-50¢
40Paraguay (-1.5)90.0%$68990¢10¢
41O/U 8.555.0%$555¢45¢
42Paraguay (-2.5)50.0%$37050¢50¢
43Paraguay (-3.5)50.0%$80950¢50¢
44Paraguay (-4.5)30.0%$2.6K30¢70¢
45Paraguay (-5.5)30.0%$2.6K30¢70¢

Result Rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 1, 2026

  • 09:06 PM
    PEpeckishpom
    $9.28

    Bought 15.213112 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.61

  • 09:02 PM
    $1.50

    Bought 16.666665 Paraguay for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.09

  • 09:01 PM
    TCtcrook4
    $1.56

    Sold 13 Yes for Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? at 0.12

  • 09:01 PM
    TCtcrook4
    $1.92

    Sold 24 Paraguay for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.08

  • 08:57 PM
    DMDmon8or
    $2.76

    Bought 3 France for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.92

  • 08:49 PM
    DUdumber
    $50.00

    Bought 81.967212 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.61

  • 08:46 PM
    ARArgonK55
    $2.00

    Bought 2.002 France for Spread: Paraguay (-5.5) at 1

  • 08:46 PM
    SWswisstony
    $150.00

    Bought 150 France for Spread: Paraguay (-5.5) at 1

  • 08:46 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.001 France for Spread: Paraguay (-5.5) at 1

  • 08:46 PM
    DMDmon8or
    $2.76

    Bought 3 France for Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance at 0.92

  • 08:45 PM
    TCtcrook4
    $2.60

    Bought 13.684209 Yes for Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? at 0.19

  • 08:45 PM
    WIWinRus
    $25.00

    Bought 59.523808 Under for Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 at 0.42

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Paraguay vs. France - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,500% win probability, followed by France O/U 0.5 at 9,300% and 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 8,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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