Paraguay vs. France
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Paraguay vs. France”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, France is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,250% chance of winning. Draw (Paraguay vs. France) follows in second place at 1,250%, while Paraguay sits in third with 450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $287K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- France (8,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, France is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $243.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Paraguay vs. France) (1,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Paraguay vs. France) maintains a 1,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,250¢.
- Paraguay (450%): Sitting in third place with a 450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Paraguay, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 8250.0% | $243.9K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Paraguay vs. France) | 1250.0% | $6.5K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 3 | Paraguay | 450.0% | $36.5K | 450¢ | -350¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, July 4, 2026 between Paraguay and France.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 1, 2026
- 09:04 PM0X0x4d1996A86c074cdDd68f5375A5C007B524799C5B-1782844480519$29.64
Sold 35.71 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.83
- 09:03 PM——$1.19
Bought 7 No for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.17
- 09:01 PMTCtcrook4$2.40
Sold 20 Yes for Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? at 0.12
- 08:57 PMBEBeceli$1.00
Bought 7.692306 Yes for Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? at 0.13
- 08:56 PM0X0x55D63284C0B5a4739Fe917B0e546fbA2568a6de8-1782860730498$1.00
Bought 1.190475 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.84
- 08:55 PMSASaltfishfanshan$65.00
Bought 77.38095 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.84
- 08:54 PM0X0x29876a011dbf4C8E038ff25e209B28BDF708b77C-1781019131613$30.00
Bought 35.714281 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.84
- 08:52 PMARarbilieveicanfly$5.00
Bought 38.461537 Yes for Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? at 0.13
- 08:52 PMARarbilieveicanfly$5.00
Bought 100 Yes for Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? at 0.05
- 08:52 PMLOlookdone$100.00
Bought 119.047618 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.84
- 08:49 PM0X0xE4c819c9E6656daEE4A916C153Af957f5c427Ced-1771961538600$5.00
Bought 5.952375 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.84
- 08:48 PM0X0x8e9c786CCA6677CCe009ad865f8579833CA2efaB-1772993613414$6.00
Bought 7.142856 Yes for Will France win on 2026-07-04? at 0.84
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Paraguay vs. France"?
As of the latest update, France leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,250% win probability, followed by Draw (Paraguay vs. France) at 1,250% and Paraguay at 450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $287K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.