Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props

$191.8K Vol
Jul 1, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Yes 100.0%
No 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots follows in second place at 1,000%, while Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots sits in third with 1,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $191.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $110 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots (1,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots maintains a 1,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,000¢.
  • Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots (1,000%): Sitting in third place with a 1,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots (1,000%), Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots on target (1,000%), and Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots9000.0%$1109000¢-8900¢
2Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots1000.0%$1671000¢-900¢
3Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots1000.0%1000¢-900¢
4Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots1000.0%$251000¢-900¢
5Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots on target1000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target1000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Jordy Caicedo: 2+ shots1000.0%$1301000¢-900¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:51 PM
    NBNbaars87
    $29.81

    Bought 52.305 Yes for Enner Valencia: 2+ shots at 0.57

  • 08:50 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 8 Yes for Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals at 0.25

  • 08:49 PM
    9090l90eo1
    $7.56

    Bought 42 Yes for Enner Valencia: 1+ goals at 0.18

  • 08:45 PM
    $48.33

    Bought 179 Yes for Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals at 0.27

  • 08:41 PM
    B3b3rs3rk3r
    $1.00

    Bought 4 Yes for Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals at 0.25

  • 08:41 PM
    PSps1993
    $3.60

    Bought 20 Yes for Enner Valencia: 1+ goals at 0.18

  • 08:37 PM
    WAWaterlazy
    $64.48

    Bought 119.4 Yes for Enner Valencia: 2+ shots at 0.54

  • 08:32 PM
    $11.61

    Bought 43 Yes for Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals at 0.27

  • 08:30 PM
    0X0xFD6E88b2C3A1fA58a53C6b652b428366896ba0A9-1781984340708
    $10.39

    Bought 129.870128 Yes for Enner Valencia: 1+ assists at 0.08

  • 08:23 PM
    CEcedriss
    $207.50

    Bought 250 No for Enner Valencia: 1+ goals at 0.83

  • 08:23 PM
    ZZZzzz87
    $414.92

    Bought 506 No for Enner Valencia: 1+ goals at 0.82

  • 08:16 PM
    ZZZzzz87
    $414.10

    Bought 505 No for Enner Valencia: 1+ goals at 0.82

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AR1
Arpadex
Event PnL
+$28.32
Volume
$440.06
Positions
NoNoNo+4
AS2
AsadV
Event PnL
-$40.65
Volume
$330.00
Positions
YesYes
RN3
rngmushroom
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$263.16
Positions
Yes
YO4
youngwhale
Event PnL
+$2.06
Volume
$245.10
Positions
NoNoNo+1
OV5
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
No
RA6
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$32.00
Volume
$120.00
Positions
NoNoNo
6A7
0x6ABC…3088
Event PnL
+$28.40
Volume
$120.00
Positions
YesYesYes
AZ8
azadehas
Event PnL
-$10.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots at 1,000% and Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots at 1,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $191.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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