Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

$994.6K Vol
Jul 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Mexico 62.5%
Ecuador 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,550% chance of winning. Mexico O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 6,950%, while 2nd Half O/U 0.5 sits in third with 6,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $994.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 0.5 (8,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $58.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Mexico O/U 0.5 (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mexico O/U 0.5 maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (6,850%): Sitting in third place with a 6,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 2nd Half O/U 0.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Team to Advance (6,250%), O/U 1.5 (5,950%), and 1st Half O/U 0.5 (5,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ecuador O/U 0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 0.58550.0%$58.8K8550¢-8450¢
2Mexico O/U 0.56950.0%$6.5K6950¢-6850¢
32nd Half O/U 0.56850.0%$2996850¢-6750¢
4Team to Advance6250.0%$306.3K6250¢-6150¢
5O/U 1.55950.0%$83.6K5950¢-5850¢
61st Half O/U 0.55750.0%$10.6K5750¢-5650¢
7Ecuador O/U 0.55600.0%$5.8K5600¢-5500¢
8Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.54850.0%$564850¢-4750¢
9Both Teams to Score4150.0%$60.8K4150¢-4050¢
10Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.54100.0%$2.3K4100¢-4000¢
11Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.53900.0%$183900¢-3800¢
12Will the Match Go to Extra Time?3900.0%$3933900¢-3800¢
132nd Half O/U 1.53350.0%$3113350¢-3250¢
14Mexico O/U 1.53250.0%$16.9K3250¢-3150¢
15O/U 2.53150.0%$173.5K3150¢-3050¢
16Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.52950.0%$5012950¢-2850¢
17Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?2450.0%$2822450¢-2350¢
181st Half O/U 1.52150.0%$9.2K2150¢-2050¢
19Ecuador O/U 1.51950.0%$3.3K1950¢-1850¢
20Mexico (-1.5)1850.0%$111.3K1850¢-1750¢
21Both Teams to Score in Second Half1650.0%$7.7K1650¢-1550¢
22O/U 3.51450.0%$27.5K1450¢-1350¢
23Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.51400.0%$3201400¢-1300¢
24Both Teams to Score in First Half1350.0%$11.9K1350¢-1250¢
25Mexico O/U 2.51150.0%$5.4K1150¢-1050¢
26Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.51100.0%$1201100¢-1000¢
27Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.51000.0%$1.4K1000¢-900¢
282nd Half O/U 2.5900.0%$834900¢-800¢
29Ecuador (-1.5)700.0%$12.1K700¢-600¢
30Mexico (-2.5)550.0%$30.0K550¢-450¢
31O/U 4.5550.0%$12.3K550¢-450¢
321st Half O/U 2.5550.0%$183550¢-450¢
33Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5500.0%$424500¢-400¢
34Ecuador O/U 2.5450.0%$760450¢-350¢
35O/U 5.5185.0%$6.5K185¢-85¢
36Ecuador (-2.5)175.0%$406175¢-75¢
37Mexico (-3.5)160.0%$395160¢-60¢
38O/U 6.565.0%$1.3K65¢35¢
39O/U 7.555.0%$655¢45¢
40Mexico (-4.5)45.0%$4.2K45¢55¢
41Ecuador (-3.5)35.0%$4.0K35¢65¢
42O/U 8.515.0%$4.5K15¢85¢
43Ecuador (-4.5)5.0%$7.4K95¢
44Mexico (-5.5)5.0%$2.4K95¢
45Ecuador (-5.5)5.0%$2.5K95¢

Result Rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    CIcigarettes
    $14.62

    Bought 86 Yes for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 0.17

  • 08:38 AM
    DYDyorSports
    $5.10

    Sold 30 Yes for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 0.17

  • 08:38 AM
    0X0xB451a99381e5b7f1eBef03e43e828DdAEB3DDc94-1768891980567
    $12.00

    Bought 14.634144 Ecuador for Spread: Mexico (-1.5) at 0.82

  • 08:35 AM
    ABabo7s
    $17.22

    Bought 42 Under for Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 at 0.41

  • 08:35 AM
    ABabo7s
    $7.98

    Bought 42 Mexico for Spread: Mexico (-1.5) at 0.19

  • 08:35 AM
    $30.00

    Bought 78.947367 Ecuador for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.38

  • 08:35 AM
    ABabo7s
    $15.96

    Bought 42 Ecuador for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.38

  • 08:34 AM
    IAIanNNN123
    $5.80

    Bought 10 Over for Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.58

  • 08:32 AM
    TRtradingis
    $1.98

    Bought 5.210525 Ecuador for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.38

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $16.49

    Bought 26.18 Mexico for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance at 0.63

  • 08:32 AM
    SEsergocrypt
    $8.32

    Bought 20.3 Yes for Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score at 0.41

  • 08:32 AM
    JIJIALINSHI
    $10.00

    Bought 52.631577 Mexico for Spread: Mexico (-1.5) at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
-$1,737.74
Volume
$186,178.65
Positions
OverEcuadorEcuador+17
AL2
Allezpapa
Event PnL
+$2,009.94
Volume
$134,895.11
Positions
Under
MO3
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$257.58
Volume
$69,393.03
Positions
MexicoMexicoOver+4
FO4
FootballFan98
Event PnL
+$304.52
Volume
$59,986.84
Positions
Ecuador
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$115.72
Volume
$27,384.90
Positions
OverMexicoMexico+8
886
88M
Event PnL
+$50.46
Volume
$10,030.73
Positions
MexicoMexico
HO7
HotChili
Event PnL
-$250.00
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
Over
MO8
mortewfenloin
Event PnL
-$8.10
Volume
$9,712.68
Positions
OverNoEcuador+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,550% win probability, followed by Mexico O/U 0.5 at 6,950% and 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 6,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $994.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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