
Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador is dominating the market with an overwhelming 1,550% chance of winning. Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador follows in second place at 1,550%, while Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador sits in third with 1,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $606.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador (1,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $43.4K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador (1,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador maintains a 1,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,550¢.
- Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador (1,500%): Sitting in third place with a 1,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador (1,050%), Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador (950%), and Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador (750%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador | 1550.0% | $43.4K | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 2 | Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador | 1550.0% | $46.0K | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 3 | Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador | 1500.0% | $30.1K | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 4 | Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador | 1050.0% | $25.8K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 5 | Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador | 950.0% | $38.1K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 6 | Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador | 750.0% | $55.3K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 7 | Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador | 550.0% | $24.1K | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 8 | Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador | 425.0% | $31.2K | 425¢ | -325¢ |
| 9 | Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador | 395.0% | $30.2K | 395¢ | -295¢ |
| 10 | Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador | 335.0% | $23.9K | 335¢ | -235¢ |
| 11 | Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador | 335.0% | $28.5K | 335¢ | -235¢ |
| 12 | Any Other Score | 315.0% | $19.0K | 315¢ | -215¢ |
| 13 | Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador | 145.0% | $26.1K | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 14 | Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador | 135.0% | $23.9K | 135¢ | -35¢ |
| 15 | Mexico 2 - 3 Ecuador | 130.0% | $23.6K | 130¢ | -30¢ |
| 16 | Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador | 75.0% | $23.2K | 75¢ | 25¢ |
| 17 | Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador | 45.0% | $115.9K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mexico vs. Ecuador match originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:36 AMGOgoldisoverrated$2.00
Bought 2.35294 No for Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador? at 0.85
- 08:36 AMSUsuntori$1.94
Bought 21.555554 Yes for Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador? at 0.09
- 08:36 AM——$1.00
Bought 6.25 Yes for Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador? at 0.16
- 08:36 AM——$1.00
Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador? at 0.1
- 08:35 AMSEsergocrypt$34.34
Bought 40.4 No for Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador? at 0.85
- 08:34 AM0X0x8862bC5dDF1DA15eE95a50e02d2B8Cd2654554Df-1779259187932$4.38
Bought 5.093021 No for Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador? at 0.86
- 08:34 AMOTOtomi$1.00
Bought 1.01109 No for Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador? at 0.99
- 08:34 AMOTOtomi$1.00
Bought 1.008 No for Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador? at 0.99
- 08:34 AMOTOtomi$1.00
Bought 1.014142 No for Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador? at 0.99
- 08:34 AMQUquuuuuuuuuuuuuu$1.00
Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador? at 0.1
- 08:33 AMQUquuuuuuuuuuuuuu$1.00
Bought 11.11111 Yes for Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador? at 0.09
- 08:33 AMQUquuuuuuuuuuuuuu$1.00
Bought 6.666665 Yes for Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador? at 0.15
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Mexico vs. Ecuador - Exact Score"?
As of the latest update, Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador leads the field as the frontrunner with a 1,550% win probability, followed by Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador at 1,550% and Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador at 1,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $606.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
