Mexico vs. Ecuador
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Mexico vs. Ecuador”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Mexico is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,350% chance of winning. Draw (Mexico vs. Ecuador) follows in second place at 3,350%, while Ecuador sits in third with 2,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2.1M, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Mexico (4,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mexico is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4M in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Mexico vs. Ecuador) (3,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Mexico vs. Ecuador) maintains a 3,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 3,350¢.
- Ecuador (2,350%): Sitting in third place with a 2,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ecuador, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 4350.0% | $1.4M | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Mexico vs. Ecuador) | 3350.0% | $448.8K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 3 | Ecuador | 2350.0% | $251.2K | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 30, 2026 between Mexico and Ecuador.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:36 AMHAharith94$44.00
Bought 100 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:36 AM0X0xEe3084E71E224E8f3Cad8D15C296aa2D853206cB-1782036641165$10.00
Bought 22.727271 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:35 AM——$4.99
Bought 11.340908 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:34 AMHOhoothoot139$5.00
Bought 11.363635 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:33 AM——$2.00
Bought 4.545453 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:33 AMANAndy1705$120.00
Bought 272.727271 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:32 AM0X0x01926A5CF62E18fB56095C8EF63E2378d3e1eB7D-1757767623488$20.00
Bought 45.454544 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:32 AMSHshpr$1.00
Bought 2.272726 Yes for Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? at 0.44
- 08:31 AMILilarimikkonen$1.00
Bought 2.941175 Yes for Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? at 0.34
- 08:31 AM919178169guange$1.00
Bought 4.166665 Yes for Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? at 0.24
- 08:31 AM0X0xC89e1fCCD4683e853ec4A5c3E1e2C2Bc481233D1-1777463089488$3.00
Bought 8.823528 Yes for Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? at 0.34
- 08:30 AMSAsasiso$1.00
Bought 2.941175 Yes for Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? at 0.34
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Mexico vs. Ecuador"?
As of the latest update, Mexico leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,350% win probability, followed by Draw (Mexico vs. Ecuador) at 3,350% and Ecuador at 2,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2.1M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.