France vs. Sweden - More Markets

$3.7M Vol
Jul 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
France 53.5%
Sweden 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “France vs. Sweden - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,675% chance of winning. France O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 9,350%, while Team to Advance sits in third with 8,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $3.7M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 0.5 (9,675%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,675¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $17.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • France O/U 0.5 (9,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, France O/U 0.5 maintains a 9,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,350¢.
  • Team to Advance (8,850%): Sitting in third place with a 8,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Team to Advance, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 1.5 (8,600%), 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (8,250%), and 1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like France O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 0.59675.0%$17.4K9675¢-9575¢
2France O/U 0.59350.0%$1.2K9350¢-9250¢
3Team to Advance8850.0%$702.0K8850¢-8750¢
4O/U 1.58600.0%$24.1K8600¢-8500¢
52nd Half O/U 0.58250.0%$178250¢-8150¢
61st Half O/U 0.57950.0%$15.6K7950¢-7850¢
7France O/U 1.57450.0%$33.8K7450¢-7350¢
8France 2nd Half O/U 0.57350.0%$97350¢-7250¢
9France 1st Half O/U 0.57100.0%$1.9K7100¢-7000¢
10O/U 2.56750.0%$236.2K6750¢-6650¢
11Sweden O/U 0.55750.0%$24.7K5750¢-5650¢
122nd Half O/U 1.55450.0%$1.5K5450¢-5350¢
13France (-1.5)5350.0%$1.9M5350¢-5250¢
14Both Teams to Score5350.0%$152.5K5350¢-5250¢
15France O/U 2.54850.0%$35.3K4850¢-4750¢
161st Half O/U 1.54550.0%$21.6K4550¢-4450¢
17O/U 3.54450.0%$174.4K4450¢-4350¢
18France 2nd Half O/U 1.54300.0%$414300¢-4200¢
19Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.53600.0%$163600¢-3500¢
20France 1st Half O/U 1.53400.0%$9.3K3400¢-3300¢
21France (-2.5)3050.0%$116.5K3050¢-2950¢
22Both Teams to Score in Second Half3000.0%$1.6K3000¢-2900¢
23Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.52950.0%$17.9K2950¢-2850¢
242nd Half O/U 2.52900.0%$2762900¢-2800¢
25O/U 4.52550.0%$50.7K2550¢-2450¢
26Both Teams to Score in First Half2150.0%$2.2K2150¢-2050¢
27Sweden O/U 1.52050.0%$15.9K2050¢-1950¢
281st Half O/U 2.51950.0%$3.7K1950¢-1850¢
29Will the Match Go to Extra Time?1650.0%$3031650¢-1550¢
30France (-3.5)1550.0%$102.9K1550¢-1450¢
31O/U 5.51250.0%$6.9K1250¢-1150¢
32Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.51000.0%$501000¢-900¢
33Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?900.0%$959900¢-800¢
34France (-4.5)650.0%$1.6K650¢-550¢
35O/U 6.5550.0%$1.5K550¢-450¢
36Sweden O/U 2.5505.0%$12.7K505¢-405¢
37Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5490.0%$855490¢-390¢
38France (-5.5)270.0%$1.4K270¢-170¢
39O/U 7.5255.0%$3.9K255¢-155¢
40Sweden (-1.5)195.0%$17.0K195¢-95¢
41O/U 8.590.0%$4.1K90¢10¢
42Sweden (-2.5)35.0%$3.9K35¢65¢
43Sweden (-3.5)15.0%$1.7K15¢85¢
44Sweden (-4.5)15.0%$12.5K15¢85¢
45Sweden (-5.5)15.0%$3.0K15¢85¢

Result Rules

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:38 AM
    NBnb101
    $14.40

    Bought 119.99 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:37 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.51

    Bought 79.25 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:37 AM
    DEdeSora
    $3.00

    Bought 3.370781 France for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.89

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x4663854f8bb5A3ea850CbeD4b126aB6c13EDB80c-1776032151415
    $2.00

    Bought 16.666665 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:34 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.80

    Bought 15.04 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:33 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.69

    Bought 39.12 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:33 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.20

    Bought 10.03 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:32 AM
    $5.53

    Bought 12.56818 Over for France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 at 0.44

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $28.77

    Bought 239.75 Sweden for France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance at 0.12

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.59

    Bought 36.27 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $95.75

    Bought 177.32 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 08:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $46.79

    Bought 86.64 France for Spread: France (-1.5) at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AL1
Allezpapa
Event PnL
-$1,530.55
Volume
$393,889.10
Positions
FranceOver
SW2
swisstony
Event PnL
-$1,150.99
Volume
$261,750.75
Positions
SwedenUnderUnder+16
073
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$2,294.93
Volume
$205,893.85
Positions
SwedenOverOver+2
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$1,024.41
Volume
$162,357.15
Positions
SwedenSweden
SU5
suntori
Event PnL
-$932.88
Volume
$83,848.52
Positions
FranceFranceOver+10
GA6
gagarin59
Event PnL
+$141.68
Volume
$38,186.64
Positions
Sweden
TM7
tmoneeey
Event PnL
-$446.22
Volume
$30,107.39
Positions
France
BI8
Bibi555
Event PnL
-$149.97
Volume
$30,000.00
Positions
France

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "France vs. Sweden - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,675% win probability, followed by France O/U 0.5 at 9,350% and Team to Advance at 8,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $3.7M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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