France vs. England - First Team to Score

$74.5K Vol
Jul 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 95.5%
Yes 4.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “France vs. England - First Team to Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, France is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,950% chance of winning. England follows in second place at 3,650%, while Neither sits in third with 450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $74.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • France (5,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, France is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • England (3,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, England maintains a 3,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 3,650¢.
  • Neither (450%): Sitting in third place with a 450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Neither, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1France5950.0%$3.0K5950¢-5850¢
2England3650.0%$1.4K3650¢-3550¢
3Neither450.0%$70.1K450¢-350¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming match between France and England, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 16, 2026

  • 07:46 PM
    $200.00

    Bought 333.333332 Yes for France to score first vs. England? at 0.6

  • 07:18 PM
    LSLsnsnajsh
    $82.58

    Bought 223.189188 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.37

  • 07:13 PM
    0X0xE451889e6031187302347bb4DE6259236f8Ff2c6-1774910708146
    $9.47

    Sold 26.31 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.36

  • 07:12 PM
    SBsbel
    $4.86

    Bought 5.0625 No for France vs. England: Neither team to score first? at 0.96

  • 07:05 PM
    0X0x08433351a82137724330A68ad477CaEd6dD5EBC2-1768879626650
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.37

  • 06:19 PM
    KOKONZERO
    $3.00

    Bought 60 Yes for France vs. England: Neither team to score first? at 0.05

  • 06:12 PM
    BObossaburbuja
    $5.68

    Sold 15.78 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.36

  • 06:06 PM
    BObossaburbuja
    $6.00

    Bought 15.789472 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.38

  • 05:56 PM
    ALAlek01
    $5.00

    Bought 100 Yes for France vs. England: Neither team to score first? at 0.05

  • 05:51 PM
    R4r4zvann
    $12.30

    Bought 20.5 Yes for France to score first vs. England? at 0.6

  • 05:39 PM
    0X0xE451889e6031187302347bb4DE6259236f8Ff2c6-1774910708146
    $10.00

    Bought 26.315788 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.38

  • 05:38 PM
    ANAnniston
    $3.00

    Bought 7.894735 Yes for England to score first vs. France? at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

161
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$300.18
Volume
$60,035.67
Positions
Yes
TA2
Tao05
Event PnL
+$150.00
Volume
$30,000.00
Positions
No
DI3
dizzy
Event PnL
+$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
No
BA4
balthazar
Event PnL
-$5.15
Volume
$6,167.98
Positions
No
GC5
GC-P
Event PnL
-$6.15
Volume
$4,116.99
Positions
NoNoYes
CO6
cottonwithsky
Event PnL
+$170.76
Volume
$1,968.24
Positions
No
C87
0xc892…8964
Event PnL
-$28.39
Volume
$1,591.29
Positions
Yes
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
+$6.83
Volume
$1,365.00
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "France vs. England - First Team to Score"?

As of the latest update, France leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,950% win probability, followed by England at 3,650% and Neither at 450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $74.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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