Spain vs. Austria - Player Props

$133.1K Vol
Jul 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 57.5%
Yes 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Spain vs. Austria - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,750% chance of winning. Alex Baena: 1+ shots follows in second place at 7,400%, while Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots sits in third with 7,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $133.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots (8,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Alex Baena: 1+ shots (7,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Alex Baena: 1+ shots maintains a 7,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,400¢.
  • Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots (7,100%): Sitting in third place with a 7,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Dani Olmo: 1+ shots (6,550%), Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots (6,250%), and Rodri: 1+ shots (6,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots8750.0%$498750¢-8650¢
2Alex Baena: 1+ shots7400.0%$3867400¢-7300¢
3Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots7100.0%$27100¢-7000¢
4Dani Olmo: 1+ shots6550.0%$236550¢-6450¢
5Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots6250.0%$226250¢-6150¢
6Rodri: 1+ shots6050.0%$766050¢-5950¢
7Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists6000.0%$486000¢-5900¢
8Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots5750.0%$3075750¢-5650¢
9Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists5150.0%$4315150¢-5050¢
10Patrick Pentz: 3+ saves4915.0%$1604915¢-4815¢
11Pedri: 4+ goals + assists4790.0%$2.4K4790¢-4690¢
12Rodri: 2+ shots on target4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
13Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists4750.0%$1.8K4750¢-4650¢
14Rodri: 3+ goals + assists4750.0%$3104750¢-4650¢
15Pedro Porro: 3+ goals + assists4740.0%$394740¢-4640¢
16Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
17Dani Olmo: 3+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
18Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
19Pedro Porro: 2+ shots on target4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
20Unai Simón: 2+ saves4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
21Unai Simón: 3+ saves4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
22Unai Simón: 4+ saves4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
23Dani Olmo: 2+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
24Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
25Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
26Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
27Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
28Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
29Pedri: 3+ goals + assists4700.0%$104700¢-4600¢
30Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ goals + assists4675.0%$104675¢-4575¢
31Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals + assists4665.0%$104665¢-4565¢
32Patrick Pentz: 4+ saves4660.0%$1604660¢-4560¢
33Pedri: 1+ shots4650.0%$1.1K4650¢-4550¢
34Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
35Unai Simón: 5+ saves4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
36Dani Olmo: 3+ goals + assists4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
37Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
38Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
39Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
40Pedri: 1+ goals + assists4400.0%$504400¢-4300¢
41Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target4350.0%$144350¢-4250¢
42Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target4350.0%$564350¢-4250¢
43Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals4300.0%$8.4K4300¢-4200¢
44Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals4250.0%$13.6K4250¢-4150¢
45Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
46Alex Baena: 1+ goals + assists4200.0%$64200¢-4100¢
47Pedro Porro: 1+ goals + assists4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
48Alex Baena: 2+ shots4050.0%$644050¢-3950¢
49Pedri: 2+ shots3650.0%$1223650¢-3550¢
50Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target3650.0%$1303650¢-3550¢
51Patrick Pentz: 2+ saves3645.0%$2103645¢-3545¢
52Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists3565.0%$1.5K3565¢-3465¢
53Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists3400.0%$1.0K3400¢-3300¢
54Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target3350.0%$923350¢-3250¢
55Patrick Pentz: 5+ saves3205.0%$2353205¢-3105¢
56Marko Arnautovic: 4+ goals + assists3205.0%$2.4K3205¢-3105¢
57Rodri: 4+ goals + assists3200.0%$6.0K3200¢-3100¢
58Pedro Porro: 1+ shots3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
59Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shots3050.0%$823050¢-2950¢
60Rodri: 1+ goals + assists2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
61Rodri: 1+ shots on target2850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
62Dani Olmo: 1+ shots on target2700.0%$302700¢-2600¢
63Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists2680.0%$2.6K2680¢-2580¢
64Rodri: 2+ shots2650.0%$162650¢-2550¢
65Dani Olmo: 1+ goals2450.0%$1.8K2450¢-2350¢
66Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists2450.0%$3.4K2450¢-2350¢
67Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target2350.0%$302350¢-2250¢
68Pedri: 1+ shots on target2350.0%$22350¢-2250¢
69Dani Olmo: 1+ goals + assists2250.0%$742250¢-2150¢
70Pedri: 1+ assists2050.0%$3.3K2050¢-1950¢
71Alex Baena: 1+ goals1900.0%$1451900¢-1800¢
72Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shots1900.0%$291900¢-1800¢
73Dani Olmo: 1+ assists1850.0%$811850¢-1750¢
74Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists1850.0%$3211850¢-1750¢
75Alex Baena: 2+ goals + assists1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
76Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goals + assists1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
77Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals + assists1750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
78Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goals + assists1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
79Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ goals + assists1685.0%$2.4K1685¢-1585¢
80Dani Olmo: 2+ shots1650.0%$1021650¢-1550¢
81Alex Baena: 1+ assists1650.0%$1741650¢-1550¢
82Rodri: 1+ assists1400.0%$1241400¢-1300¢
83Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target1400.0%$221400¢-1300¢
84Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goals1350.0%$8011350¢-1250¢
85Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals1350.0%$8591350¢-1250¢
86Alex Baena: 2+ shots on target1300.0%$51300¢-1200¢
87Pedro Porro: 2+ shots1200.0%$261200¢-1100¢
88Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals + assists1200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
89Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots on target1150.0%$251150¢-1050¢
90Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals1100.0%$111100¢-1000¢
91Pedro Porro: 2+ goals + assists1100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
92Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals1050.0%$6.9K1050¢-950¢
93Dani Olmo: 2+ shots on target1050.0%—1050¢-950¢
94Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots on target1050.0%$521050¢-950¢
95Pedri: 2+ goals + assists1050.0%—1050¢-950¢
96Rodri: 1+ goals1000.0%$7471000¢-900¢
97Pedri: 1+ goals950.0%$6.3K950¢-850¢
98Pedro Porro: 1+ assists900.0%$38900¢-800¢
99Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shots on target900.0%—900¢-800¢
100Rodri: 2+ goals + assists900.0%—900¢-800¢
101Pedro Porro: 1+ shots on target850.0%$18850¢-750¢
102Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assists850.0%—850¢-750¢
103Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists800.0%$4.4K800¢-700¢
104Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assists750.0%$146750¢-650¢
105Pedri: 2+ shots on target750.0%—750¢-650¢
106Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists680.0%$3.5K680¢-580¢
107Nico Williams: 1+ shots620.0%$11.3K620¢-520¢
108Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists605.0%$3.1K605¢-505¢
109Marko Arnautovic: 1+ assists600.0%$71600¢-500¢
110Alex Baena: 2+ assists450.0%$33450¢-350¢
111Pedri: 2+ assists395.0%$430395¢-295¢
112Nico Williams: 2+ shots380.0%$166380¢-280¢
113Alex Baena: 2+ goals360.0%$74360¢-260¢
114Pedro Porro: 1+ goals350.0%$1350¢-250¢
115Dani Olmo: 2+ goals330.0%$1.7K330¢-230¢
116Rodri: 2+ assists315.0%$134315¢-215¢
117Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ assists300.0%$1.4K300¢-200¢
118Pedro Porro: 2+ assists300.0%$2.4K300¢-200¢
119Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals290.0%$2.7K290¢-190¢
120Dani Olmo: 2+ assists285.0%$2.0K285¢-185¢
121Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals260.0%$6.7K260¢-160¢
122Nico Williams: 1+ goals235.0%$6.2K235¢-135¢
123Marko Arnautovic: 2+ assists210.0%$433210¢-110¢
124Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists205.0%$1.5K205¢-105¢
125Nico Williams: 1+ assists205.0%$2.7K205¢-105¢
126Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals140.0%$1.2K140¢-40¢
127Pedri: 2+ goals115.0%$1.9K115¢-15¢
128Nico Williams: 2+ assists115.0%$81115¢-15¢
129Nico Williams: 2+ goals105.0%$65105¢-5¢
130Rodri: 2+ goals70.0%$1.1K70¢30¢
131Pedro Porro: 2+ goals65.0%$1065¢35¢
132Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists65.0%$5.1K65¢35¢
133Alex Baena: 3+ goals60.0%$8660¢40¢
134Dani Olmo: 3+ goals60.0%$16060¢40¢
135Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goals60.0%$67460¢40¢
136Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals60.0%$1560¢40¢
137Nico Williams: 3+ goals55.0%$1055¢45¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:16 AM
    DCdchen
    $257.38

    Bought 259.98 No for Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:15 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.0101 No for Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:15 AM
    DCdchen
    $990.00

    Bought 1000 No for Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:15 AM
    ALallanznama
    $987.03

    Bought 997 No for Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:14 AM
    00001nrt
    $3.00

    Bought 300 Yes for Rodri: 3+ goals + assists at 0.01

  • 08:13 AM
    SHSherooqiAysha
    $1,219.12

    Bought 1244 No for Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists at 0.98

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0xeFd065EbBc639EBeBCB7B804e76F2C4cdd924200-1771480517175
    $7.00

    Bought 16.279068 Yes for Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals at 0.43

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0xeFd065EbBc639EBeBCB7B804e76F2C4cdd924200-1771480517175
    $9.00

    Bought 20.930231 Yes for Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals at 0.43

  • 08:13 AM
    OLOlderbroo
    $1,127.60

    Bought 1138.9898 No for Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

  • 08:12 AM
    LALanncefy
    $1,153.37

    Bought 1176.906909 No for Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals at 0.98

  • 08:11 AM
    W9W9iq27
    $9.84

    Bought 22.88 Yes for Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals at 0.43

  • 08:11 AM
    DCdchen
    $4.95

    Bought 5 No for Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists at 0.99

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

C71
0xC7Fb…0436
Event PnL
-$128.27
Volume
$9,089.05
Positions
NoNoYes+2
DE2
DeepDitch
Event PnL
+$92.41
Volume
$3,932.44
Positions
YesNoYes
DC3
dchen
Event PnL
-$922.32
Volume
$2,820.17
Positions
NoNoNo+20
GU4
GUINESS123
Event PnL
-$11.53
Volume
$2,697.00
Positions
NoNoNo
HA5
Haramhustle
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$2,568.86
Positions
Yes
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$93.18
Volume
$2,146.78
Positions
NoNoNo+2
ON7
oneoftheppl
Event PnL
-$6.78
Volume
$1,355.00
Positions
No
CK8
ckteam-01
Event PnL
+$372.35
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
YesYesYes+7

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Spain vs. Austria - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,750% win probability, followed by Alex Baena: 1+ shots at 7,400% and Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots at 7,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $133.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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