Spain vs. Austria

$173K Vol
Jul 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 73.5%
No 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Spain vs. Austria”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spain is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Draw (Spain vs. Austria) follows in second place at 1,750%, while Austria sits in third with 850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $173K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spain (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spain is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $105.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Spain vs. Austria) (1,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Spain vs. Austria) maintains a 1,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,750¢.
  • Austria (850%): Sitting in third place with a 850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Austria, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spain7350.0%$105.1K7350¢-7250¢
2Draw (Spain vs. Austria)1750.0%$24.4K1750¢-1650¢
3Austria850.0%$43.7K850¢-750¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, July 2, 2026 between Spain and Austria.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:28 AM
    NINisLe
    $2.83

    Bought 3.824323 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:26 AM
    DADarek111222
    $10.00

    Bought 111.11111 Yes for Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.09

  • 08:25 AM
    KIKingShashaq
    $5.00

    Bought 55.555554 Yes for Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.09

  • 08:23 AM
    UNUnduck
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:16 AM
    IHIhorgame
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:16 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:15 AM
    SASantaIsNotReal
    $5.00

    Bought 6.756753 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:14 AM
    0X0x2AFCD9753c47FC3380E355FeD61EA998eA6945F0-1782285076289
    $5.00

    Bought 6.756753 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0x1F2d315b3363DFd73CEb0BbeF5FF8043c9f5D5eA-1769606544628
    $10.00

    Bought 55.555554 Yes for Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? at 0.18

  • 08:12 AM
    $34.03

    Bought 45.986484 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

  • 08:12 AM
    WSwSkW0
    $4.41

    Bought 49 Yes for Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.09

  • 08:12 AM
    0X0x46Dd7352546F231CAB1022B79415F6262392AcAF-1777358058691
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Yes for Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CH1
charliealmanack
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Yes
A52
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$11,675.45
Volume
$17,557.07
Positions
NoNoNo
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$73.12
Volume
$15,336.81
Positions
No
3D4
0x3DA8…2461
Event PnL
-$65.78
Volume
$13,157.89
Positions
Yes
KN5
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$39.06
Volume
$11,520.01
Positions
NoNoNo
EV6
evoi9
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$9,999.88
Positions
No
GO7
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$49.35
Volume
$9,870.87
Positions
NoYes
CA8
Cannae
Event PnL
+$31.64
Volume
$8,100.26
Positions
NoNoNo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Spain vs. Austria"?

As of the latest update, Spain leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Draw (Spain vs. Austria) at 1,750% and Austria at 850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $173K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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