Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score

$670.4K Vol
Jul 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 97.0%
Yes 2.9%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spain 1 - 1 Argentina is dominating the market with an overwhelming 1,550% chance of winning. Spain 1 - 0 Argentina follows in second place at 1,150%, while Spain 0 - 0 Argentina sits in third with 1,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $670.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spain 1 - 1 Argentina (1,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spain 1 - 1 Argentina is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spain 1 - 0 Argentina (1,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spain 1 - 0 Argentina maintains a 1,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,150¢.
  • Spain 0 - 0 Argentina (1,050%): Sitting in third place with a 1,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spain 0 - 0 Argentina, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spain 0 - 1 Argentina (850%), Spain 2 - 1 Argentina (850%), and Spain 2 - 0 Argentina (750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spain 1 - 2 Argentina are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spain 1 - 1 Argentina1550.0%$5.1K1550¢-1450¢
2Spain 1 - 0 Argentina1150.0%$7.8K1150¢-1050¢
3Spain 0 - 0 Argentina1050.0%$5.9K1050¢-950¢
4Spain 0 - 1 Argentina850.0%$7.2K850¢-750¢
5Spain 2 - 1 Argentina850.0%$61.2K850¢-750¢
6Spain 2 - 0 Argentina750.0%$17.6K750¢-650¢
7Spain 1 - 2 Argentina650.0%$31.2K650¢-550¢
8Spain 2 - 2 Argentina550.0%$44.2K550¢-450¢
9Any Other Score550.0%$3.7K550¢-450¢
10Spain 0 - 2 Argentina445.0%$17.9K445¢-345¢
11Spain 3 - 1 Argentina375.0%$19.5K375¢-275¢
12Spain 3 - 0 Argentina365.0%$9.7K365¢-265¢
13Spain 2 - 3 Argentina295.0%$337.1K295¢-195¢
14Spain 1 - 3 Argentina215.0%$20.9K215¢-115¢
15Spain 3 - 2 Argentina205.0%$38.3K205¢-105¢
16Spain 0 - 3 Argentina125.0%$5.9K125¢-25¢
17Spain 3 - 3 Argentina105.0%$37.2K105¢-5¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Argentina, scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Spain vs. Argentina match originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 16, 2026

  • 08:17 AM
    $3.00

    Bought 42.857141 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? at 0.07

  • 08:16 AM
    YYyyxx11
    $40.91

    Bought 2045.454544 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? at 0.02

  • 08:16 AM
    HUhuhansan111
    $0.85

    Sold 85.45 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? at 0.01

  • 08:16 AM
    $3.00

    Bought 27.272726 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? at 0.11

  • 08:15 AM
    RERek1n
    $10.00

    Bought 142.857141 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? at 0.07

  • 08:15 AM
    RERek1n
    $4.55

    Bought 454.545453 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? at 0.01

  • 08:15 AM
    NRnRJrJh
    $7.04

    Bought 64 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? at 0.11

  • 08:15 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 29.75 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? at 0.16

  • 08:14 AM
    0X0x9F28B91E351c51E9a4845AbaBD16fD33F4A32375-1781645835983
    $5.00

    Bought 71.42857 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? at 0.07

  • 08:14 AM
    HUhuhansan111
    $0.91

    Bought 90.909089 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? at 0.01

  • 08:14 AM
    SCsc0rrIuYF
    $14.40

    Bought 16 No for Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? at 0.9

  • 08:14 AM
    EMEmbere45
    $0.96

    Bought 96 Yes for Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? at 0.01

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

A51
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$2,240,280.00
Volume
$2,380,000.00
Positions
NoNoNo+14
AD2
0xad99…7347
Event PnL
-$31,757.36
Volume
$1,057,761.38
Positions
YesYesYes+13
LO3
lovedudley
Event PnL
-$24,902.45
Volume
$960,381.22
Positions
YesYesYes+14
B54
0xB50c…5187
Event PnL
-$24.49
Volume
$106,473.00
Positions
Yes
PL5
PleaseWinPlease
Event PnL
+$157.35
Volume
$86,298.30
Positions
NoNo
MR6
MrDouche
Event PnL
+$354.00
Volume
$83,640.35
Positions
NoNoNo+2
LL7
LLL994402
Event PnL
+$28.78
Volume
$47,407.22
Positions
No
3D8
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$52.57
Volume
$43,030.30
Positions
NoYesYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, Spain 1 - 1 Argentina leads the field as the frontrunner with a 1,550% win probability, followed by Spain 1 - 0 Argentina at 1,150% and Spain 0 - 0 Argentina at 1,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $670.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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