Belgium vs. Senegal
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Belgium vs. Senegal”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Belgium is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,450% chance of winning. Draw (Belgium vs. Senegal) follows in second place at 2,950%, while Senegal sits in third with 2,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $469.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Belgium (4,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Belgium is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $361.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Belgium vs. Senegal) (2,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Belgium vs. Senegal) maintains a 2,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,950¢.
- Senegal (2,650%): Sitting in third place with a 2,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Senegal, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 4450.0% | $361.9K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Belgium vs. Senegal) | 2950.0% | $25.0K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 3 | Senegal | 2650.0% | $82.7K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 1, 2026 between Belgium and Senegal.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:32 AMILilarimikkonen$1.00
Bought 3.333332 Yes for Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? at 0.3
- 08:26 AMSHshrekisnotreal$1.35
Bought 3 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.45
- 08:26 AMBObonasi$15.00
Bought 26.785713 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.56
- 08:25 AM——$1.47
Sold 3.33 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.44
- 08:24 AM——$1.50
Bought 3.333332 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.45
- 08:24 AMTATalukder420$1.00
Bought 3.703702 Yes for Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? at 0.27
- 08:23 AMM3M3KYR$1.68
Bought 3 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.56
- 08:23 AMUNUnduck$1.00
Bought 2.222221 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.45
- 08:22 AM0X0x5820723857C9a4CE16154A8EbC29b2aB5BBab6F6-1768901100630$10.00
Bought 37.037036 Yes for Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? at 0.27
- 08:18 AMM3M3KYR$1.68
Bought 3 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.56
- 08:18 AMMAMaxNarvesen$20.00
Bought 44.444443 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? at 0.45
- 08:17 AM0X0x330Ac0b3f89B79Aabc8712B133e105f1DE1DE4C7-1781520676856$1.00
Bought 3.703702 Yes for Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? at 0.27
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Belgium vs. Senegal"?
As of the latest update, Belgium leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,450% win probability, followed by Draw (Belgium vs. Senegal) at 2,950% and Senegal at 2,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $469.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.