Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

$26.8K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Spirit Academy 100.0%
summer bear 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 9,960%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $26.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (9,960%): Sitting in third place with a 9,960% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,955%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$3.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$7.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9960.0%$259960¢-9860¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan9955.0%$259955¢-9855¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%$355000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%$2545¢55¢
11Any Player Rampage45.0%$2545¢55¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks40.0%$3540¢60¢
13O/U 2.5 Games5.0%95¢
14Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)5.0%$1595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit Academy and summer bear in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 8 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against summer bear.

This market will resolve to "summer bear" if summer bear win the match against Spirit Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Ends in Daytime at 9,960%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $26.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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