Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

$2.6K Vol
Jul 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
OG 69.0%
Inner Circle 31.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 7,150%, while Match Winner sits in third with 6,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
  • Match Winner (6,900%): Sitting in third place with a 6,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,150%), Ends in Daytime (5,150%), and Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 2? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner7150.0%$127150¢-7050¢
2Game 2 Winner7150.0%7150¢-7050¢
3Match Winner6900.0%$2.6K6900¢-6800¢
4Ends in Daytime5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Ends in Daytime5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7First Blood in Game 2?4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
8First Blood in Game 1?4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
16Any Player Rampage2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
17Any Player Rampage2650.0%2650¢-2550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between OG and Inner Circle in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 9 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Inner Circle.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against OG.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 7,150% and Match Winner at 6,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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