Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

$27.6K Vol
Jul 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Liquid 61.5%
Nigma Galaxy 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,500% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,400%, while First Blood in Game 2? sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $27.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
  • First Blood in Game 2? (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward First Blood in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,100%), Ends in Daytime (5,100%), and First Blood in Game 1? (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
3First Blood in Game 2?5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
4Ends in Daytime5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
5Ends in Daytime5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
6First Blood in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Match Winner3850.0%$12.0K3850¢-3750¢
8Game 1 Winner3650.0%$11.7K3650¢-3550¢
9Game 2 Winner3600.0%$3.8K3600¢-3500¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
13Both Teams Beat Roshan2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
15Any Player Rampage2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
16Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
17Any Player Rampage2650.0%2650¢-2550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Liquid in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Liquid.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,500% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 5,400% and First Blood in Game 2? at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $27.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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