Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

$2.2K Vol
Jul 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Aurora 78.5%
L1ga Team 21.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Ends in Daytime is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 5,000%, while First Blood in Game 2? sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Ends in Daytime is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • First Blood in Game 2? (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward First Blood in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes First Blood in Game 1? (5,000%), Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,000%), and Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Any Player Rampage4900.0%$8924900¢-4800¢
10Any Player Rampage4850.0%$8924850¢-4750¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
15Match Winner2200.0%$1.0K2200¢-2100¢
16Game 1 Winner2150.0%$2102150¢-2050¢
17Game 2 Winner2150.0%$652150¢-2050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between L1ga Team and Aurora in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against L1ga Team.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B"?

As of the latest update, Ends in Daytime leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 5,000% and First Blood in Game 2? at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started