
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $102.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $52.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Ultra Kill (5,050%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $52.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $19.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) | 9995.0% | $2.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | $50 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | $50 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 40.0% | $50 | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 25.0% | $50 | 25¢ | 75¢ |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5.0% | $488 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Habibis in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for June 30 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against Habibis.
This market will resolve to "Habibis" if Habibis win the match against Ilbirs eSports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:41 AMSYsyn.$54.65
Bought 94.22 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.58
- 08:30 AM——$8.13
Bought 9.8 Ilbirs eSports for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.83
- 08:28 AMCKckteam-01$4.60
Bought 9.787233 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:09 AMSLSlavaKpss777$198.72
Bought 354.864654 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.56
- 08:08 AM33338383833$1.66
Bought 2 Ilbirs eSports for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.83
- 08:07 AM33338383833$3.32
Bought 4 Ilbirs eSports for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.83
- 08:04 AMBIbisindentod$79.89
Bought 147.95 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.54
- 08:03 AM——$16.95
Bought 36.063828 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:03 AMSAsappireflames000$4.00
Bought 6.153845 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.65
- 08:03 AMCKckteam-01$9.20
Bought 19.574467 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:03 AMCEcerp$103.93
Bought 192.47 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.54
- 08:03 AM0X0x59eB00x59eB0$8.52
Bought 18.127658 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B"?
As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $102.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
