Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

$364K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
1win 100.0%
Inner Circle 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,985% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,960%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $364K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,985%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,985¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $663 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (9,960%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? maintains a 9,960% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,960¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,955%), First Blood in Game 2? (9,955%), and Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9985.0%$6639985¢-9885¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9960.0%$59960¢-9860¢
3Ends in Daytime9955.0%$259955¢-9855¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan9955.0%$259955¢-9855¢
5First Blood in Game 2?9955.0%$259955¢-9855¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%$2545¢55¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%$2545¢55¢
9Any Player Rampage45.0%$2545¢55¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?45.0%$545¢55¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?45.0%$545¢55¢
12Game 2 Winner5.0%$318.0K95¢
13Match Winner5.0%$8.4K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against 1win.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Inner Circle.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:46 PM
    BLblackrunner
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Inner Circle x Insanity for First Blood in Game 2? at 1

  • 08:46 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Inner Circle x Insanity for First Blood in Game 2? at 1

  • 08:46 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Inner Circle x Insanity for First Blood in Game 2? at 1

  • 08:32 PM
    STstarquants2
    $10.00

    Bought 10 Yes for Game 2: Ends in Daytime? at 1

  • 08:31 PM
    SOsolomillo
    $0.99

    Bought 0.99 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 1

  • 08:30 PM
    0X0x703eF039995884cAbd496aA06117BB060B4A9828-1774092206888
    $850.06

    Sold 850.06 1win for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:30 PM
    VAVanyaR
    $486.53

    Sold 486.53 1win for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    GXgxxyy
    $7,693.08

    Sold 7693.08 1win for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    WHwhat-the-dog-doin
    $3,617.44

    Sold 3617.44 1win for Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 No for Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 No for Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 No for Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,030.32
Volume
$27,241.35
Positions
Inner CircleInner Circle
F32
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$833.45
Volume
$14,992.57
Positions
1win
F23
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
+$2,714.53
Volume
$12,681.11
Positions
1win
GE4
GeorgeRe
Event PnL
+$839.39
Volume
$12,319.49
Positions
1win
HE5
0xheavy888
Event PnL
-$637.03
Volume
$11,995.14
Positions
Inner Circle1win
MI6
minji
Event PnL
-$407.47
Volume
$10,843.60
Positions
Inner Circle1winInner Circle
SU7
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$382.77
Volume
$10,427.71
Positions
1win
XY8
xytest
Event PnL
-$68.15
Volume
$10,029.10
Positions
Inner CircleInner Circle

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,985% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? at 9,960% and Ends in Daytime at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $364K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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