
Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Any Player Ultra Kill is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,500% chance of winning. Both Teams Beat Roshan follows in second place at 5,450%, while Match Winner sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $34, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Any Player Ultra Kill (5,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Player Ultra Kill is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Beat Roshan maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
- Match Winner (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,200%), Any Player Rampage (5,150%), and Game 1 Winner (5,050%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 5250.0% | $34 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Rampage | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 6 | Game 1 Winner | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Game Handicap: Team AION (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Game 2 Winner | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team AION and PuckChamp in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for July 4 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team AION" if Team AION win the match against PuckChamp.
This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against Team AION.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 3, 2026
- 08:46 PMTRTrading97$5.00
Bought 10.638296 PuckChamp for Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.47
- 08:45 PMSTStroopwafel$11.20
Bought 21.14 Team AION for Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.53
- 08:29 PMTHthe-fisherking$4.70
Bought 9.03 Team AION for Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.52
- 06:29 PMGUGUINESS123$13.50
Bought 25 PuckChamp for Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A at 0.54
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A"?
As of the latest update, Any Player Ultra Kill leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,500% win probability, followed by Both Teams Beat Roshan at 5,450% and Match Winner at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $34, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
