Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

$856.3K Vol
Jul 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
1win 50.5%
OG 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Ends in Daytime is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,000% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,000%, while Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $856.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Ends in Daytime (9,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Ends in Daytime is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? maintains a 9,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,000¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,000%), Match Winner (5,050%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Ultra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Ends in Daytime9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Match Winner5050.0%$29.5K5050¢-4950¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%$251000¢-900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Any Player Rampage1000.0%$4361000¢-900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%$251000¢-900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
12Any Player Rampage1000.0%$4361000¢-900¢
13First Blood in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
14First Blood in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Game 2 Winner5.0%$573.9K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and OG in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 10 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against OG.

This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against 1win.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 10, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    TETenochtitlan
    $198.33

    Sold 198.33 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:11 PM
    NCncftr
    $166.66

    Sold 166.66 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:05 PM
    MAMarryiamia
    $10.00

    Bought 20 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.5

  • 08:03 PM
    JAJarrett
    $208.24

    Sold 208.24 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:00 PM
    IWIwillsurvive
    $55.82

    Sold 113.92 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.49

  • 07:59 PM
    RARanceSama111
    $58.56

    Sold 119.5 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.49

  • 07:58 PM
    $32.07

    Sold 65.45 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.49

  • 07:52 PM
    PEPezdet
    $6.82

    Sold 13.64 1win for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.5

  • 07:50 PM
    LELewiskang
    $7.65

    Bought 15.3 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.5

  • 07:48 PM
    JOJohnkirk
    $11.81

    Sold 11.81 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 07:48 PM
    0X0xFFe349c1159b231D83Da2d57476d0138De0CEaaf-1782324757802
    $3.85

    Sold 7.85 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.49

  • 07:47 PM
    0X0xf469d89e94B7c2FCB27494F5656986fCB4cE58be-1782551886762
    $1.96

    Sold 4 OG for Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.49

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D"?

As of the latest update, Ends in Daytime leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,000% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 9,000% and Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $856.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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