Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

$52K Vol
Jul 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Vitality 89.5%
Liquid 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,850% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 follows in second place at 6,800%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 sits in third with 6,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $52K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) (6,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (6,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 maintains a 6,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,800¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (6,650%): Sitting in third place with a 6,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5) (6,200%), Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (5,550%), and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5) (4,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)6850.0%$12.4K6850¢-6750¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)6200.0%6200¢-6100¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55550.0%$3.4K5550¢-5450¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)4500.0%$1.1K4500¢-4400¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54350.0%$1544350¢-4250¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.53750.0%$63750¢-3650¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)3650.0%$4913650¢-3550¢
12O/U 2.5 Games2750.0%$4.6K2750¢-2650¢
13Map 1 Winner1850.0%$3811850¢-1750¢
14Map 2 Winner1450.0%$11450¢-1350¢
15Match Winner1050.0%$35.5K1050¢-950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Liquid and Vitality in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 23, 2026

  • 07:50 PM
    FMFML69
    $20.00

    Bought 62.5 Liquid for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 07:44 PM
    XRxr44er
    $10.56

    Bought 58.666665 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner at 0.18

  • 07:38 PM
    LILiddel
    $5.94

    Bought 18.5625 Liquid for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 07:38 PM
    WAWARNINGWARNINGWARNING
    $1,531.20

    Bought 4939.37 Liquid for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:37 PM
    6666sj8g9kepad
    $1.50

    Bought 1.630425 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.92

  • 07:37 PM
    LILiddel
    $6.18

    Bought 68.666665 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.09

  • 07:37 PM
    TStsddd
    $2.00

    Bought 2.173912 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.92

  • 07:37 PM
    WAWARNINGWARNINGWARNING
    $612.34

    Bought 7654.26 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.08

  • 07:30 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $5.86

    Bought 18.903224 Liquid for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:28 PM
    REredcame1
    $2.00

    Bought 6.451611 Liquid for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:24 PM
    ALALISSONBG
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Liquid for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:23 PM
    MTmtp909
    $2.13

    Bought 3.042856 Vitality for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WA1
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING
Event PnL
+$62.99
Volume
$13,900.43
Positions
LiquidLiquid
F52
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.97
Positions
Vitality
CS3
csgod
Event PnL
+$28.35
Volume
$8,748.54
Positions
Liquid
RO4
rooteee
Event PnL
+$16.49
Volume
$6,592.00
Positions
Vitality
JH5
jhnsfws
Event PnL
+$3.44
Volume
$5,757.16
Positions
VitalityUnder
CR6
crypto-b
Event PnL
-$38.35
Volume
$3,609.58
Positions
VitalityVitalityOver+1
SK7
skyman44
Event PnL
+$48.04
Volume
$3,202.59
Positions
Liquid
KA8
Karammmba
Event PnL
-$14.25
Volume
$2,850.00
Positions
Vitality

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier"?

As of the latest update, Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,850% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 at 6,800% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 at 6,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $52K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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