Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

$139.8K Vol
Jul 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Astralis 56.5%
Team Nemesis 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,100% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) sits in third with 4,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $139.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $575 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) (4,900%): Sitting in third place with a 4,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Winner (4,800%), O/U 2.5 Games (4,750%), and Map 2 Winner (4,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55100.0%$5755100¢-5000¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)4900.0%$7454900¢-4800¢
4Map 1 Winner4800.0%$11.4K4800¢-4700¢
5O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$1.4K4750¢-4650¢
6Map 2 Winner4050.0%$7.9K4050¢-3950¢
7Match Winner3950.0%$105.4K3950¢-3850¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)3950.0%$2.5K3950¢-3850¢
9Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)3450.0%$523450¢-3350¢
10Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)3150.0%$19.9K3150¢-3050¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.52400.0%$4002400¢-2300¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Team Nemesis and Astralis in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 8:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Astralis.

This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Team Nemesis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 21, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    HOHOGGERCOPIES
    $22.58

    Bought 33.70149 Team Nemesis for Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 07:57 AM
    HOHOGGERCOPIES
    $18.17

    Bought 33.648147 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 07:55 AM
    WEwesquezz
    $219.73

    Sold 372.43 Team Nemesis for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) at 0.59

  • 07:52 AM
    0X0xB2F61CC0F9692d2C1593d41648A5c103448fa1b1-1775805059501
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Team Nemesis for Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 07:47 AM
    MAmamofaker
    $2.00

    Bought 3.174602 Team Nemesis for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) at 0.63

  • 07:47 AM
    0X0x2e7c546
    $82.84

    Bought 218 Astralis for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) at 0.38

  • 07:45 AM
    MImiroshsa
    $1.86

    Bought 2.952378 Team Nemesis for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) at 0.63

  • 07:44 AM
    KUkunkun168
    $141.48

    Bought 228.193547 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.62

  • 07:44 AM
    LIlirunqi
    $3.05

    Sold 5 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.61

  • 07:42 AM
    4I4is4
    $114.00

    Bought 300 Astralis for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) at 0.38

  • 07:42 AM
    0X0x93E5de01E878237e05b6c812c0C4158e175c3B8D-1756276408853
    $30.00

    Bought 48.387094 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.62

  • 07:42 AM
    RORON303
    $4.87

    Sold 12.82 Team Nemesis for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
-$34.04
Volume
$27,372.62
Positions
Team NemesisTeam NemesisTeam Nemesis+2
CR2
crypto-b
Event PnL
-$61.23
Volume
$18,413.10
Positions
AstralisAstralisAstralis+4
JU3
junifund1
Event PnL
-$364.38
Volume
$14,575.11
Positions
Astralis
WA4
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING
Event PnL
+$218.34
Volume
$14,556.05
Positions
Team Nemesis
SI5
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
+$53.04
Volume
$10,607.31
Positions
Team Nemesis
EX6
ExplosiveNinja
Event PnL
+$41.32
Volume
$8,263.23
Positions
Astralis
BI7
BirdMan.
Event PnL
+$23.77
Volume
$5,999.97
Positions
Astralis
ME8
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
-$26.11
Volume
$5,222.00
Positions
Team Nemesis

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,100% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 5,000% and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) at 4,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $139.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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