
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 5,850%, while Map 2 Winner sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $22.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 1 Winner (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.1K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (5,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 5,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,850¢.
- Map 2 Winner (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (4,950%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,950%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 6050.0% | $1.1K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 5850.0% | $21.2K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 5150.0% | $110 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4950.0% | $28 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 8 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | 3350.0% | $507 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 11 | Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) | 3150.0% | $711 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Heroic and TheMongolz in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 8:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against TheMongolz.
This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Heroic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 23, 2026
- 07:39 AMWUWUTWUTPONG$4.15
Bought 10.12195 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 06:57 AMNBnbs8$5.00
Bought 12.19512 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 05:55 AMLYLyndfgbn$9.02
Bought 22 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 05:55 AMALAldrichdf$32.40
Bought 54 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.6
- 05:54 AMBRBrookdf$13.12
Bought 32 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 05:49 AMZDzdko$1.00
Bought 1.666665 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.6
- 05:14 AMUNUNA.AI.3.716.729$93.65
Sold 234.12 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.4
- 05:08 AMYAyankehu$2.00
Bought 4.878047 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 02:34 AM0X0xbA10214048B93084df9424494E3D167fc6D4BF97-1773866600089$40.00
Bought 97.560974 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 12:49 AMUNUNA.AI.3.716.729$32.69
Bought 79.731706 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 12:48 AMUNUNA.AI.3.716.729$31.96
Bought 77.951218 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
- 12:48 AMUNUNA.AI.3.716.729$31.34
Bought 76.439023 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier at 0.41
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier"?
As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 5,850% and Map 2 Winner at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $22.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
