Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B

$146.5K Vol
Jul 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Heroic 62.5%
FOKUS 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,500% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 6,250%, while Map 1 Winner sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $146.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (6,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $130 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (6,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 6,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,250¢.
  • Map 1 Winner (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,850%), Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,850%), and O/U 2.5 Games (4,800%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner6500.0%$1306500¢-6400¢
2Match Winner6250.0%$145.8K6250¢-6150¢
3Map 1 Winner5750.0%$1165750¢-5650¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
6O/U 2.5 Games4800.0%$1104800¢-4700¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)4200.0%$404200¢-4100¢
10Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)3650.0%$3913650¢-3550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Heroic and FOKUS in the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B, initially scheduled for July 23 at 12:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against FOKUS.

This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against Heroic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 23, 2026

  • 08:01 AM
    0X0x6B6972746F6E6F73
    $19.32

    Bought 28.835818 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.67

  • 08:00 AM
    $18.36

    Bought 54 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 07:45 AM
    $20.06

    Bought 59 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 07:30 AM
    $20.06

    Bought 59 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 07:15 AM
    $11.90

    Bought 35 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 07:07 AM
    HUhubertus01
    $200.00

    Bought 298.50746 Heroic for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.67

  • 07:00 AM
    $3.40

    Bought 10 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 06:55 AM
    NBnbs8
    $10.00

    Bought 29.411763 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 06:32 AM
    ZIZiko
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941175 FOKUS for Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B at 0.34

  • 06:14 AM
    UNunemployed.dopamine.maxxer
    $50.76

    Bought 94 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 05:58 AM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 FOKUS for Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 05:58 AM
    ANantec
    $6.20

    Bought 10 FOKUS for Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) at 0.62

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

111
111111111115
Event PnL
+$536.84
Volume
$118,769.40
Positions
FOKUS
ST2
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$22.19
Volume
$70,976.39
Positions
Heroic
SK3
skyman44
Event PnL
+$28.62
Volume
$19,999.98
Positions
Heroic
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$7.81
Volume
$6,084.62
Positions
HeroicFOKUS
L05
l0wkirkenuinely
Event PnL
-$28.05
Volume
$5,500.00
Positions
FOKUS
F36
f3arless
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Heroic
DI7
Ditto321
Event PnL
-$19.92
Volume
$3,984.06
Positions
Heroic
VI8
vibing123
Event PnL
+$9.47
Volume
$3,978.62
Positions
FOKUS

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,500% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 6,250% and Map 1 Winner at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $146.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started