Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B

$597.5K Vol
Jul 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Astralis 100.0%
FOKUS 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $597.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $194.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%), Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5) (9,995%), and Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5) (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner9995.0%$194.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$259.8K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$7.7K9995¢-9895¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59995.0%$1159995¢-9895¢
5Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)9995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550.0%$550¢50¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550.0%$550¢50¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550.0%$550¢50¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-12.5) vs FOKUS (+12.5)50.0%$550¢50¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.540.0%$55040¢60¢
13Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)5.0%$26.5K95¢
14Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)5.0%$1.7K95¢
15Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)5.0%$2595¢
16Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%$5595¢
17Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs FOKUS (+9.5)5.0%$5595¢
18Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.55.0%$595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Astralis and FOKUS in the StarLadder StarSeries Group B, initially scheduled for July 21 at 12:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against FOKUS.

This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against Astralis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 21, 2026

  • 07:53 PM
    EGeggbrewer
    $30.00

    Sold 30 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 07:51 PM
    SHShadowAlpha.xyz
    $24.16

    Sold 24.16 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:49 PM
    FLFluffyKittenSwagotron
    $6.00

    Sold 6 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:49 PM
    GGGG-Botman
    $5.19

    Sold 5.19 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:44 PM
    SPSpeedyPenguin5
    $309.99

    Sold 309.99 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:41 PM
    KNKnowsall123
    $23.28

    Sold 23.28 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:36 PM
    ROrom4yc
    $14.92

    Sold 14.92 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:33 PM
    SLSlavaKpss777
    $407.14

    Sold 407.14 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:32 PM
    KEKentastrof1
    $9.16

    Sold 9.16 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:31 PM
    MAmamofaker
    $2.77

    Sold 2.77 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:30 PM
    DOdonaspeed
    $1.58

    Sold 1.58 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

  • 07:29 PM
    0X0x9187e0753F5d9BFF3D943115A2aEcB3Bb7B5b2E1-1768845468989
    $28.17

    Sold 28.17 Astralis for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SK1
skyman44
Event PnL
+$0.47
Volume
$19,577.25
Positions
Astralis
292
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
-$84.32
Volume
$19,246.18
Positions
FOKUSFOKUSFOKUS+2
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,200.91
Volume
$15,902.52
Positions
AstralisFOKUSAstralis+2
GE4
GeorgeRe
Event PnL
+$4,133.91
Volume
$9,815.83
Positions
FOKUS
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$38.03
Volume
$9,406.05
Positions
FOKUSFOKUS
LE6
letitride247
Event PnL
-$3,120.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Astralis
ZO7
ZoeGarma
Event PnL
+$1,272.27
Volume
$7,233.14
Positions
FOKUS
HU8
HubertDubois
Event PnL
+$25.73
Volume
$7,077.64
Positions
FOKUSFOKUS

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $597.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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