
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $217.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $58.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Match Winner (9,350%): Sitting in third place with a 9,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5) (9,050%), Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) (9,010%), and Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) (8,850%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $58.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 9995.0% | $60 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 9350.0% | $124.6K | 9350¢ | -9250¢ |
| 4 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5) | 9050.0% | $10 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 9010.0% | $60 | 9010¢ | -8910¢ |
| 6 | Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 8850.0% | $4.2K | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 7 | Map 2 Winner | 8750.0% | $42.3K | 8750¢ | -8650¢ |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | $244 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 4900.0% | $5 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-12.5) vs Gentle Mates (+12.5) | 4900.0% | $10 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 16 | Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 17 | O/U 2.5 Games | 1250.0% | $1.8K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 18 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 990.0% | $5 | 990¢ | -890¢ |
| 19 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 990.0% | $55 | 990¢ | -890¢ |
| 20 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 990.0% | $10 | 990¢ | -890¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinals 1 match between 3DMAX and Gentle Mates in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against Gentle Mates.
This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against 3DMAX.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 17, 2026
- 08:23 AM0X0x2B701572fddFDD995edC92EeBA08D5A02977370B-1783713475787$2.00
Bought 4.081631 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner at 0.49
- 08:14 AML0l0xa$4.68
Bought 9.957445 Gentle Mates for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.47
- 08:14 AMWXWxWxW$48.79
Bought 90.35185 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:05 AMJAjaijiajaijai$20.00
Bought 37.03 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:03 AML0l0xa$37.79
Bought 80.404254 Gentle Mates for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.47
- 08:02 AMNUnuclearguy$1.30
Bought 2.407406 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:02 AMEDEdvardRunch$539.99
Bought 999.99 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:01 AM——$12.00
Bought 25.53 Gentle Mates for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.47
- 08:01 AM0X0x5Db92e9C68153aCc5393B304FE5d3D47756F190E-1775315138995$1.89
Bought 3.5 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:00 AM——$7.21
Bought 15.34 Gentle Mates for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.47
- 08:00 AM0X0x50598A3092c6a0efD1C875380d16eDb070766d95-1783850495125$2.82
Bought 6 Gentle Mates for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.47
- 08:00 AM0X0x59eB00x59eB0$37.17
Bought 79.085105 Gentle Mates for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs at 0.47
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $217.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
