
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, New Zealand is dominating the market with an overwhelming 60.5% chance of winning. West Indies follows in second place at 39.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $165.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- New Zealand (60.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, New Zealand is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 61¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- West Indies (39.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, West Indies maintains a 39.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 40¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 60.5% | — | 61¢ | 40¢ |
| 2 | West Indies | 39.5% | — | 40¢ | 61¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the cricket match between West Indies and New Zealand scheduled for July 16 2026 in ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand.
This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 60.5% | 60.5% | 0.0% |
| West Indies | 39.5% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 16, 2026
- 08:10 PMEMemmy85$142.58
Sold 195.31 New Zealand for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.73
- 08:09 PMCACasey259$1.00
Bought 1.315787 New Zealand for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.76
- 08:09 PMSPspyman$77.29
Bought 101.697366 New Zealand for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.76
- 08:08 PMBWbwave10$1.00
Bought 1.35135 New Zealand for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.74
- 08:08 PMMImidwicket72$1,301.30
Bought 5005 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.26
- 08:07 PMMImidwicket72$389.35
Bought 1557.4 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.25
- 08:06 PMMImidwicket72$8.65
Bought 36.05 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.24
- 08:06 PMGRgrandculp$10.80
Bought 45 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.24
- 08:06 PMGRgrandculp$9.60
Bought 40 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.24
- 08:06 PM3838791873984189$24.00
Bought 100 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.24
- 08:06 PM3838791873984189$24.00
Bought 100 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.24
- 08:06 PMLIlifeisgamespower$6.94
Sold 30.16 West Indies for ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand at 0.23
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand"?
As of the latest update, New Zealand leads the field as the frontrunner with a 60.5% win probability, followed by West Indies at 39.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $165.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
