Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

$457 Vol
Jul 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Down is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Up follows in second place at 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $457, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Down (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Down is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Up (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Up maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Down5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2Up4950.0%4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".

The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 2, 2026

  • 11:10 AM
    0X0xdD20
    $1.53

    Bought 3 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.51

  • 11:02 AM
    CRCreativ07
    $30.00

    Bought 58.823528 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.51

  • 11:02 AM
    CRCreativ07
    $60.00

    Bought 120 Up for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:00 AM
    WUwuhua2929
    $110.41

    Bought 220.81 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

Jul 1, 2026

  • 01:38 PM
    E0e09170
    $14.11

    Sold 28.8 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.49

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

  • 11:34 AM
    E0e09170
    $1.80

    Bought 3.6 Down for Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WU1
wuhua2929
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$340.81
Positions
DownDown
HU2
huskyhuricaninho
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$71.81
Positions
UpUp
AN3
Ant-Fo
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$70.00
Positions
UpUp
CR4
Creativ07
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$61.18
Positions
UpUp
SI5
sirmen
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$40.00
Positions
UpUp
WA6
WakeIsland
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$30.00
Positions
UpUp
BO7
boxingKing
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$25.00
Positions
UpUp
A98
0xA981
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$23.82
Positions
UpUp

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET"?

As of the latest update, Down leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Up at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $457, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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