Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC - More Markets

$524.1K Vol
Jul 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 55.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $524.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (55.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 56¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $9.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score55.5%$9.9K56¢44¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for July 16 at 6:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 55.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 56.7% — yielding an impressive +1.2% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV55.5%56.7%+1.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 16, 2026

  • 08:05 PM
    0X0x7D394D82A1786feaeB0376410bfBC0e56e7CBA51-1782849393700
    $34.65

    Bought 46.2 Over for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 08:01 PM
    0X0xmmwhale
    $100.09

    Bought 175.598069 Yes for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.57

  • 07:51 PM
    $77.40

    Bought 138.214284 Yes for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.56

  • 07:48 PM
    0X0x7EE50C89622D018D79C635C44562117BbA4C5E7d-1780958401942
    $600.00

    Bought 800 Over for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 07:48 PM
    ALalp.
    $19.61

    Bought 20.427075 Under for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 5.5 at 0.96

  • 07:46 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $97.14

    Bought 190.47 Over for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.51

  • 07:44 PM
    SWswisstony
    $46.13

    Bought 64.069442 Under for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.72

  • 07:43 PM
    QUQuaid281
    $1.10

    Bought 5 Botafogo FR for Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) at 0.22

  • 07:42 PM
    BAbaatmaan
    $3.75

    Bought 5 Over for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 07:42 PM
    0X0x466658e9A04E4586fb0ea46abF0a2Fd8902F3A55-1774907247826
    $2.06

    Bought 2.746664 Over for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 07:42 PM
    SWswisstony
    $451.50

    Bought 602 Over for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 07:40 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.149423 Under for Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.87

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$358.19
Volume
$18,991.26
Positions
UnderSantos FCUnder+14
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$771.74
Volume
$14,083.47
Positions
OverBotafogo FROver+6
793
0x792e…1503
Event PnL
-$183.81
Volume
$12,253.71
Positions
Over
YA4
yayatoure
Event PnL
+$179.01
Volume
$11,676.47
Positions
Over
FE5
felipette
Event PnL
+$49.84
Volume
$10,817.90
Positions
Under
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$142.57
Volume
$10,331.16
Positions
Under
SN7
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$122.20
Volume
$10,024.37
Positions
YesOverOver+13
MA8
matsuka
Event PnL
+$133.94
Volume
$9,939.99
Positions
OverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 55.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $524.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 55.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 56.7% — an Expected Value gap of +1.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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