Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place

Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ashley Trail 50.0%
Barrett Pfeiffer 50.0%
Chuk Anyanwu 50.0%
Drew Campbell 50.0%
Haley Thogmartin 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Barrett Pfeiffer is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. Drew Campbell follows in second place at 4,950%, while Haley Thogmartin sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Barrett Pfeiffer (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Barrett Pfeiffer is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Drew Campbell (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Drew Campbell maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
  • Haley Thogmartin (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Haley Thogmartin, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Jason De Puy (4,950%), LaTrice Verrett (4,950%), and Lyric Medeiros (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mallory Aurichio are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Barrett Pfeiffer4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
2Drew Campbell4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3Haley Thogmartin4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Jason De Puy4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
5LaTrice Verrett4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6Lyric Medeiros4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7Mallory Aurichio4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Melody Morris4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Rome Seymour4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Taylor Brown4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Yash Patel4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Ashley Trail4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Chuk Anyanwu4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Kamu Kirk4850.0%4850¢-4750¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to the contestant who comes in second-place on Big Brother season 28.

If Big Brother season 28 concludes without a second-place finisher, or if Big Brother season 28 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The named individuals will be primarily ranked by order of elimination. If two or more individuals are eliminated exactly simultaneously, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the individuals' listed first names. This market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother season 28.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place"?

As of the latest update, Barrett Pfeiffer leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,950% win probability, followed by Drew Campbell at 4,950% and Haley Thogmartin at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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