Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

$962.8K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pablo Carreno Busta 59.5%
Rafael Jodar 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,345% chance of winning. Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 follows in second place at 6,550%, while Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $962.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (8,345%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,345¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 (6,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 maintains a 6,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,550¢.
  • Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 (6,550%): Sitting in third place with a 6,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner (6,500%), Completed Match (5,000%), and Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.58345.0%$2.6K8345¢-8245¢
2Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.56550.0%$1.6K6550¢-6450¢
3Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
4Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner6500.0%$1036500¢-6400¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$70.9K5000¢-4900¢
6Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.55000.0%$1435000¢-4900¢
7Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
8Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta4050.0%$877.4K4050¢-3950¢
12Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.52400.0%$2.3K2400¢-2300¢
13Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-2.5425.0%$1.7K425¢-325¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 1, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    R9R980209
    $0.00

    Sold 65.21 Jodar for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5) at 0

  • 09:00 PM
    $100.00

    Bought 250 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 09:00 PM
    0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877
    $1.96

    Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:59 PM
    0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877
    $1.96

    Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:59 PM
    NInick10s
    $392.10

    Sold 653.5 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.6

  • 08:58 PM
    0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877
    $1.96

    Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:57 PM
    HHHhnm
    $122.61

    Sold 204.35 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.6

  • 08:57 PM
    GOGoodShopper
    $2.59

    Bought 4.25 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.61

  • 08:56 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $8.00

    Sold 20.51 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.39

  • 08:54 PM
    KAKatetsulmao
    $20.00

    Bought 50 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:53 PM
    $0.98

    Sold 2.5 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.39

  • 08:53 PM
    HUhuntermax1224
    $15.43

    Bought 25.295079 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CU1
Cuco84
Event PnL
-$64.09
Volume
$12,820.51
Positions
Rafael Jodar
NE2
NewTeamSosed2
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
NI3
Nikos888
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
YO4
yohan75
Event PnL
-$74.78
Volume
$3,977.25
Positions
Over 3.5Over
635
0x6318…2041
Event PnL
-$78.53
Volume
$3,206.39
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$14.77
Volume
$2,953.53
Positions
Rafael Jodar
5B7
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$33.59
Volume
$2,737.26
Positions
Under 3.5BustaPablo Carreno Busta
SW8
swisstony
Event PnL
+$10.65
Volume
$2,127.05
Positions
Rafael Jodar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta"?

As of the latest update, Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,345% win probability, followed by Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 at 6,550% and Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 at 6,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $962.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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