
Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 10.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,100% chance of winning. Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,200%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $34, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 10.5 (6,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 10.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 21.5 (5,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,200¢.
- Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 Winner (5,000%), and Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 2 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 21.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted | 4850.0% | $38 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 11 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 Winner | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 12 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 22.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 13 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 14 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 15 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 16 | Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Ivanov and Lui Maxted in the Nottingham 3, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Ivan Ivanov' if Ivan Ivanov advances against Lui Maxted.
This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Ivan Ivanov.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted"?
As of the latest update, Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Set 1 O/U 10.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,100% win probability, followed by Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxted Match O/U 21.5 at 5,200% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $34, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
