Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino

$477 Vol
Jul 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lorenzo Giustino 66.5%
Emilien Demanet 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 10.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,950% chance of winning. Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,150%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $477, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 10.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 21.5 (5,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,150¢.
  • Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 Winner (5,000%), Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 10.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
2Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 21.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 22.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
11Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set Handicap +/-1.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
12Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Total Sets: O/U 2.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
13Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 Winner3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
14Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 8.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
15Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino3350.0%$5253350¢-3250¢
16Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set Handicap +/-1.51950.0%1950¢-1850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Lorenzo Giustino in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Emilien Demanet' if Emilien Demanet advances against Lorenzo Giustino.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Emilien Demanet.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino"?

As of the latest update, Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Set 1 O/U 10.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,950% win probability, followed by Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustino Match O/U 21.5 at 5,150% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $477, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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